Aljamain Sterling vs Kevin Vallejos — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 8
- 1light heavyweight MainJiri ProchazkavsNavajo Stirling
- 3lightweightDan HookervsBrian Ortega
- 4middleweightJared CannoniervsIkram Aliskerov
- 5heavyweightShamil GazievvsTallison Teixeira
- 6Not linkedwelterweightJake MatthewsvsTahir Abdullayev
- 7bantamweightAleksandre TopuriavsSantiago Luna
- 8flyweightAsu AlmabayevvsKyoji Horiguchi
- 9flyweightAmir AlbazivsAlessandro Costa
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Title-fight record 4–1.
Tale of the tape
| 18-5-0 | UFC record | 4-0-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 4 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | +4 |
| 37 | Age | 24 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 68" 173 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 1738 | Global Elo | 1635 |
| 1683 | Elo rating | 1609 |
Aljamain Sterling — Notable ▼
- 3 successful title defenses
- UFC veteran since 2014
Kevin Vallejos — Notable ▼
- 4-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · featherweightKnockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Kevin Vallejos2.13
- 2Tommy Mcmillen1.85
- 3Steve Garcia1.76
- 4Luke Riley1.27
- 5Jean Silva1.23
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
Aljamain Sterling — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1407 landed total · career
- Head 50%
- Body 31%
- Leg 19%
- Distance 67%
- Clinch 15%
- Ground 18%
Kevin Vallejos — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 160 landed total · career
- Head 68%
- Body 23%
- Leg 10%
- Distance 76%
- Clinch 13%
- Ground 12%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Tommy Mcmillen12.80
- 2Hyder Amil7.28
- 3Marwan Rahiki6.87
- 4Luke Riley6.67
- 5Michael Aswell Jr.6.22
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Bogdan Grad59%
- 5Luke Riley59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Felipe Lima68%
- 2Miles Johns67%
- 3Mairon Santos66%
- 4Yadier Del Valle66%
- 5Youssef Zalal65%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Movsar Evloev4.78
- 3Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 4Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 5Pat Sabatini4.27
- 1Tommy Mcmillen100%
- 2Yadier Del Valle100%
- 3Gaston Bolanos75%
- 4Erik Silva75%
- 5Jean Silva67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Felipe Lima90%
- 5Sean Woodson88%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Daniel Pineda1.54
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Bogdan Grad6.76
- 4Jordan Leavitt5.97
- 5Darren Elkins5.51
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Aljamain Sterling has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1635 vs 1568, 10 quality wins to 2.
- Apr 25, 2026
- Aug 23, 2025
- Dec 7, 2024
- Apr 13, 2024
- Aug 19, 2023
- Mar 14, 2026
- Dec 13, 2025
- Aug 2, 2025
- Mar 15, 2025