Asu Almabayev vs Kyoji Horiguchi — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

7-1-0	UFC record	9-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 3	Finishes	KO 2 · Sub 1
+3	Streak	-1
32	Age	36
5'4" 163 cm	Height	5'5" 165 cm
65" 165 cm	Reach	66" 168 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
1623	Global Elo	1620
1593	Elo rating	1578

Asu Almabayev — Notable ▼

At a glance

Kyoji Horiguchi — Notable ▼

At a glance

Asu Almabayev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 238 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

54% Head

Head 54%
Body 24%
Leg 22%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

65% Distance

Distance 65%
Clinch 10%
Ground 25%

Kyoji Horiguchi — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 555 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

75% Head

Head 75%
Body 16%
Leg 9%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

70% Distance

Distance 70%
Clinch 13%
Ground 17%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.28

3.64

div avg 3.96

51%

48%

div avg 47%

1.94

2.08

div avg 3.36

54%

64%

div avg 56%

4.74

1.67

div avg 1.57

46%

40%

div avg 38%

44%

61%

div avg 64%

1.44

0.10

div avg 0.78

div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Asu Almabayev

43% finish rate

KO 0 · Sub 3

can finish?

Kyoji Horiguchi

finished 100%

2 of 2 losses

Kyoji Horiguchi

33% finish rate

KO 2 · Sub 1

can finish?

Asu Almabayev

finished 100%

1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Kyoji Horiguchi has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1587 vs 1553, 2 quality wins to 0.

Asu Almabayev red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1553

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 7 UFC wins

Toughest win

Matheus Nicolau

Elo 1578 at fight time

Expected wins

4.4

+2.6 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights

1523

1537

Kyoji Horiguchi blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1587

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 9 UFC wins

Toughest win

Amir Albazi

Elo 1620 at fight time

Expected wins

6.1

+2.9 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights

1423

1612

Notable wins

Amir Albazi 1620 Tagir Ulanbekov 1612

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

L

Manel Kape

L

KO/TKO · R3

KO/TKO · R3

Mar 1, 2025

Jun 20, 2026

L · KO/TKO · R3

Mar 1, 2025

Manel Kape

L · KO/TKO · R3

Jun 20, 2026

Corner A recent form

Asu Almabayev

W Charles Johnson Submission · R3

Jun 27, 2026
W Alex Perez Submission · R3

Nov 22, 2025
W Jose Ochoa Decision - Unanimous

Jul 26, 2025
L Manel Kape KO/TKO · R3

Mar 1, 2025
W Matheus Nicolau Decision - Unanimous

Oct 19, 2024
W Jose Johnson Decision - Unanimous

Jun 15, 2024
W Cj Vergara Decision - Unanimous

Mar 9, 2024
W Ode Osbourne Submission · R2

Aug 5, 2023

Corner B recent form

Kyoji Horiguchi

L Manel Kape KO/TKO · R3

Jun 20, 2026
W Amir Albazi Decision - Unanimous

Feb 7, 2026
W Tagir Ulanbekov Submission · R3

Nov 22, 2025
W Ali Bagautinov Decision - Unanimous

Nov 19, 2016
W Neil Seery Decision - Unanimous

May 8, 2016
W Chico Camus Decision - Unanimous

Sep 26, 2015
L Demetrious Johnson Submission · R5

Apr 25, 2015
W Louis Gaudinot Decision - Unanimous

Jan 3, 2015
W Jon Delos Reyes KO/TKO · R1

Sep 20, 2014
W Darrell Montague Decision - Unanimous

May 10, 2014
W Dustin Pague KO/TKO · R2

Oct 19, 2013

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Asu Almabayev & Kyoji Horiguchi on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.