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Amir Albazi vs Alessandro Costa — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Albazi

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

5-2-0 UFC record 5-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 1
-2 Streak +3
32 Age 30
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'4" 163 cm
68" 173 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1605 Global Elo 1532
1565 Elo rating 1488
Amir Albazi — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
Alessandro Costa — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • 3 finishes in a row
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission

Amir Albazi — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 251 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 12%

Alessandro Costa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 277 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 17%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.47
3.94
div avg 3.96
34%
49%
div avg 47%
3.88
3.81
div avg 3.36
59%
54%
div avg 56%
1.18
0.85
div avg 1.57
25%
27%
div avg 38%
63%
85%
div avg 64%
0.44
0.85
div avg 0.78
4
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Amir Albazi
60% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Alessandro Costa
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Alessandro Costa
100% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 1
can finish?
Amir Albazi
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Amir Albazi has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1567 vs 1480, 0 quality wins to 0.

Amir Albazi red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1567
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Kai Kara-France
Elo 1579 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1500
1624
Alessandro Costa blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1480
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Matt Schnell
Elo 1503 at fight time
Expected wins
4.0
+1.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1587
1484
Corner A recent form
Amir Albazi
Corner B recent form
Alessandro Costa
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Amir Albazi & Alessandro Costa on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.