HonestElo
← featherweight

Danny Silva

Active #31 featherweight
Elo rating
1559 ±34
LCB 1514
Rank
#31
top 31% of division
UFC record
3-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +30 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Josh Culibao Δ+33Mar 1, 2025 — W vs Lucas Almeida Δ+26Aug 2, 2025 — L vs Kevin Vallejos Δ-31Mar 21, 2026 — W vs Kurtis Campbell Δ+30 14881516154415721599 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":150.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Josh Culibao","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":429.7,"y":100.3,"elo":1559,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Lucas Almeida","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":608.2,"y":159.7,"elo":1528,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Kevin Vallejos","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":101.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Kurtis Campbell","result":"W","delta":30}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Kurtis Campbell W +30
Aug 2, 2025 Kevin Vallejos L -31
Mar 1, 2025 Lucas Almeida W +26
Mar 16, 2024 Josh Culibao W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.85 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.87 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.91 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
32% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.27 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1522
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual +1 vs expected