Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 8
- 1light heavyweight MainJiri ProchazkavsNavajo Stirling
- 2featherweightAljamain SterlingvsKevin Vallejos
- 3lightweightDan HookervsBrian Ortega
- 4middleweightJared CannoniervsIkram Aliskerov
- 5heavyweightShamil GazievvsTallison Teixeira
- 6Not linkedwelterweightJake MatthewsvsTahir Abdullayev
- 8flyweightAsu AlmabayevvsKyoji Horiguchi
- 9flyweightAmir AlbazivsAlessandro Costa
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~6".
Tale of the tape
| 2-0-0 | UFC record | 2-1-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | -1 |
| 30 | Age | 22 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 68" 173 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1549 | Global Elo | 1529 |
| 1523 | Elo rating | 1488 |
Aleksandre Topuria — Notable ▼
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Santiago Luna — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · bantamweightTakedown Accuracy
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 50% of wins by KO/TKO
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
- Top 5 · bantamweightStriking Defense
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
Aleksandre Topuria — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 88 landed total · career
- Head 72%
- Body 23%
- Leg 6%
- Distance 90%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 3%
Santiago Luna — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 155 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 23%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 17%
- Ground 5%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Xiao Long88%
- 5Caolan Loughran88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 2Rafael Estevam7.79
- 3Rinya Nakamura6.94
- 4Raul Rosas Jr.6.68
- 5Brady Hiestand6.54
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1508 (Aleksandre Topuria) vs 1528 (Santiago Luna).
- Nov 22, 2025
- Feb 8, 2025
- Jun 6, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025