HonestElo
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Rob Emerson "The Saint"

Inactive · age 44 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2008
Elo rating
1461
Global Elo 1508 ±36
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +11 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Mar 31, 2010
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 8m
Avg fight time
11:24
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.8
Since last fight
16y 3mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2008 — W vs Keita Nakamura Δ+24Aug 9, 2008 — W vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ+33Feb 7, 2009 — L vs Kurt Pellegrino Δ-34Sep 19, 2009 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-35Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Phillipe Nover Δ+24Mar 31, 2010 — L vs Nik Lentz Δ-15 14201440146014801500152015401560 20092010 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":253.4,"elo":1489,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Keita Nakamura","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":1,"x":262.7,"y":177.3,"elo":1522,"date":"2008-08-09","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":429,"y":256.4,"elo":1487,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Kurt Pellegrino","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":633.7,"y":335.9,"elo":1452,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":4,"x":761.6,"y":281.3,"elo":1476,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Phillipe Nover","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":316.3,"elo":1461,"date":"2010-03-31","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 31, 2010 Nik Lentz L -15
Feb 6, 2010 Phillipe Nover W +24
Sep 19, 2009 Rafael Dos Anjos L -35
Feb 7, 2009 Kurt Pellegrino L -34
Aug 9, 2008 Manvel Gamburyan W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 182 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 12%
  • Leg 33%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1495
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Manvel Gamburyan
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.3
−0.3 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1445
1528

Top lightweight

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Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Rob Emerson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.