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Keita Nakamura "K-Taro"

Inactive · age 42 · Southpaw · 5'11" 180 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 50% of wins by submission
  • UFC veteran since 2006
Elo rating
1433
Global Elo 1486 ±40
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +25 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Apr 20, 2019
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 37m
Avg fight time
14:18
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
0.9
Since last fight
7y 2mo

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Dec 13, 2006 — L vs Brock Larson Δ-31Apr 5, 2007 — L vs Drew Fickett Δ-24Feb 2, 2008 — L vs Rob Emerson Δ-24Sep 26, 2015 — W vs Li Jingliang Δ+43Feb 27, 2016 — L vs Tom Breese Δ-20Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Kyle Noke Δ+23Oct 1, 2016 — L vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ-14Sep 22, 2017 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+21Apr 21, 2018 — L vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ-14Dec 1, 2018 — W vs Salim Touahri Δ+17Apr 20, 2019 — L vs Sultan Aliev Δ-16 1360138014001420144014601480 2009201220152018 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":191.9,"elo":1442,"date":"2006-12-13","opp":"Brock Larson","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":108,"y":255.3,"elo":1418,"date":"2007-04-05","opp":"Drew Fickett","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":2,"x":156.4,"y":320.1,"elo":1394,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Rob Emerson","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":602.2,"y":205.2,"elo":1437,"date":"2015-09-26","opp":"Li Jingliang","result":"W","delta":43},{"i":4,"x":626.8,"y":259.1,"elo":1417,"date":"2016-02-27","opp":"Tom Breese","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":5,"x":648.6,"y":197.5,"elo":1440,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":661.4,"y":234.8,"elo":1426,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":718.2,"y":179.6,"elo":1446,"date":"2017-09-22","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":751.9,"y":217.7,"elo":1432,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":787.7,"y":172.7,"elo":1449,"date":"2018-12-01","opp":"Salim Touahri","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":214.8,"elo":1433,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"Sultan Aliev","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 20, 2019 Sultan Aliev L -16
Dec 1, 2018 Salim Touahri W +17
Apr 21, 2018 Anthony Rocco Martin L -14
Sep 22, 2017 Alex Morono W +21
Oct 1, 2016 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 337 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
79% Head
  • Head 79%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 7 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1508
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Alex Morono
Elo 1558 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.7
−0.7 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1471
1481

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Keita Nakamura on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.