HonestElo
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Jorge Gurgel

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1499 ±39
LCB 1448
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Nov 15, 2008
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jun 28, 2006 — L vs Mark Hominick Δ-25Sep 23, 2006 — W vs Danny Abbadi Δ+28Jul 7, 2007 — W vs Diego Saraiva Δ+26Oct 20, 2007 — L vs Alvin Robinson Δ-34Mar 1, 2008 — W vs John Halverson Δ+27Jul 5, 2008 — L vs Cole Miller Δ-18Nov 15, 2008 — L vs Aaron Riley Δ-19 14351468150215351569 20072008 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":172.8,"elo":1475,"date":"2006-06-28","opp":"Mark Hominick","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":109.1,"y":128.3,"elo":1503,"date":"2006-09-23","opp":"Danny Abbadi","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":389.8,"y":87.2,"elo":1529,"date":"2007-07-07","opp":"Diego Saraiva","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":492.6,"y":140.3,"elo":1495,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Alvin Robinson","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":4,"x":622.6,"y":98.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2008-03-01","opp":"John Halverson","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":745.9,"y":127.3,"elo":1503,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":156.5,"elo":1485,"date":"2008-11-15","opp":"Aaron Riley","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2008 Aaron Riley L -19
Jul 5, 2008 Cole Miller L -18
Mar 1, 2008 John Halverson W +27
Oct 20, 2007 Alvin Robinson L -34
Jul 7, 2007 Diego Saraiva W +26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.39 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
33% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.57 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.86 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
56% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.14 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (100%) 3

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1476
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.7
actual -1 vs expected