← lightweight

Alvin Robinson

Inactive · age 43 · Southpaw · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2007
Elo rating
1420
Global Elo 1467 ±37
Rank
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Nov 15, 2008
Loss by Submission · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
36m
Avg fight time
9:06
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.9
Ground control
11m
Since last fight
17y 7mo

Honest Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jul 7, 2007 — L vs Kenny Florian Δ-29Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Jorge Gurgel Δ+34Jan 23, 2008 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-27Nov 15, 2008 — L vs Mark Bocek Δ-34 13801400142014401460148015001520 2008 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":256.9,"elo":1447,"date":"2007-07-07","opp":"Kenny Florian","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":242.1,"y":180.1,"elo":1481,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Jorge Gurgel","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":379.7,"y":241.5,"elo":1454,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":810,"y":318.8,"elo":1420,"date":"2008-11-15","opp":"Mark Bocek","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2008 Mark Bocek L -34
Jan 23, 2008 Nate Diaz L -27
Oct 20, 2007 Jorge Gurgel W +34
Jul 7, 2007 Kenny Florian L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 57 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
93% Head
  • Head 93%
  • Body 5%
  • Leg 2%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Ground
  • Distance 23%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 68%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
3 of 3 · usually R1
1 KO/TKO 2 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1527
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jorge Gurgel
Elo 1529 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
1.8
−0.8 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 4 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1539
1470

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Alvin Robinson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.