HonestElo
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John Maguire

Inactive · Southpaw · 175 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1491 ±42
LCB 1437
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Jun 15, 2013
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2011 — W vs Justin Edwards Δ+29Apr 14, 2012 — W vs DaMarques Johnson Δ+33Sep 29, 2012 — L vs John Hathaway Δ-25Nov 17, 2012 — L vs Matthew Riddle Δ-27Jun 15, 2013 — L vs Mitch Clarke Δ-35 14351477151815601602 20122013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":116.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"Justin Edwards","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":257.3,"y":74.6,"elo":1562,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"DaMarques Johnson","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":500.7,"y":106.9,"elo":1537,"date":"2012-09-29","opp":"John Hathaway","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":571.7,"y":141.6,"elo":1509,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Matthew Riddle","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":185.4,"elo":1475,"date":"2013-06-15","opp":"Mitch Clarke","result":"L","delta":-35}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 15, 2013 Mitch Clarke L -35
Nov 17, 2012 Matthew Riddle L -27
Sep 29, 2012 John Hathaway L -25
Apr 14, 2012 DaMarques Johnson W +33
Nov 5, 2011 Justin Edwards W +29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.40 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.43 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.79 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
78% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.07 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.5
actual -1 vs expected