HonestElo
← welterweight

John Hathaway

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1590 ±34
LCB 1547
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d -9 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Mar 1, 2014
L by KO

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jan 17, 2009 — W vs Tom Egan Δ+33Jun 13, 2009 — W vs Rick Story Δ+26Nov 14, 2009 — W vs Paul Taylor Δ+24May 29, 2010 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+35Oct 16, 2010 — L vs Mike Pyle Δ-38Mar 26, 2011 — W vs Kris McCray Δ+10May 5, 2012 — W vs Pascal Krauss Δ+13Sep 29, 2012 — W vs John Maguire Δ+14Mar 1, 2014 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-16 14931534157516161657 20102011201220132014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Tom Egan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":91,"y":150.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2009-06-13","opp":"Rick Story","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":161.2,"y":120.3,"elo":1583,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Paul Taylor","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":250.6,"y":75.6,"elo":1617,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":314.4,"y":124.6,"elo":1579,"date":"2010-10-16","opp":"Mike Pyle","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":5,"x":387.8,"y":112.3,"elo":1589,"date":"2011-03-26","opp":"Kris McCray","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":6,"x":572.9,"y":95.1,"elo":1602,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Pascal Krauss","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":639.9,"y":76.9,"elo":1616,"date":"2012-09-29","opp":"John Maguire","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":98.1,"elo":1600,"date":"2014-03-01","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 1, 2014 Dong Hyun Kim L -16
Sep 29, 2012 John Maguire W +14
May 5, 2012 Pascal Krauss W +13
Mar 26, 2011 Kris McCray W +10
Oct 16, 2010 Mike Pyle L -38

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.28 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.74 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.52 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.84 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
1 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
86% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (86%) 6
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1536
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.0
actual +2 vs expected