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Matthew Riddle "Deep Waters"

Inactive · age 40 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 76" 193 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2008
Elo rating
1523
Global Elo 1572 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-3-0 (2 NC)
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+2
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Feb 16, 2013
NC Overturned

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Jun 21, 2008 — W vs Dante Rivera Δ+29Feb 7, 2009 — W vs Steve Bruno Δ+27Aug 8, 2009 — W vs Dan Cramer Δ+27Nov 14, 2009 — L vs Nick Osipczak Δ-38Mar 27, 2010 — W vs Greg Soto Δ+25Aug 1, 2010 — W vs DaMarques Johnson Δ+16Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Sean Pierson Δ-20Sep 17, 2011 — L vs Lance Benoist Δ-19Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Henry Martinez Δ+14Jul 21, 2012 — NC vs Chris Clements Δ0Nov 17, 2012 — W vs John Maguire Δ+15Feb 16, 2013 — NC vs Che Mills Δ0 1440146014801500152015401560 20092010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":314,"elo":1476,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Dante Rivera","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":187.8,"y":243.1,"elo":1503,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Steve Bruno","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":264.8,"y":172.1,"elo":1529,"date":"2009-08-08","opp":"Dan Cramer","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":306.3,"y":272.7,"elo":1492,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Nick Osipczak","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":362.6,"y":205.7,"elo":1517,"date":"2010-03-27","opp":"Greg Soto","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":416.3,"y":162,"elo":1533,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"DaMarques Johnson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":472.2,"y":214.8,"elo":1513,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Sean Pierson","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":590.7,"y":265.5,"elo":1494,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Lance Benoist","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":650,"y":228.7,"elo":1508,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Henry Martinez","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":721.1,"y":228.7,"elo":1508,"date":"2012-07-21","opp":"Chris Clements","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":10,"x":771.5,"y":188.9,"elo":1523,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"John Maguire","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":810,"y":188.9,"elo":1523,"date":"2013-02-16","opp":"Che Mills","result":"NC","delta":0}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 16, 2013 Che Mills NC 0
Nov 17, 2012 John Maguire W +15
Jul 21, 2012 Chris Clements NC 0
Feb 4, 2012 Henry Martinez W +14
Sep 17, 2011 Lance Benoist L -19
2 post-fight bonuses
  • Fight of the Night ×1
  • Submission of the Night ×1

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Matthew Riddle has earned 2.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
14%
1 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (83%) 5
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 503 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
35% Ground
  • Distance 34%
  • Clinch 30%
  • Ground 35%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1520
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
John Maguire
Elo 1537 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.6
+1.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 12 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1539
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 47m
Avg fight time
13:54
Fights per year
2.6
Since last fight
13y 6mo
Bonuses
2
Ground control
1h 22m
vs Compare Matthew Riddle with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Matthew Riddle on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.