HonestElo
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Matthew Riddle

Inactive · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1566 ±40
LCB 1514
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+2
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Nov 17, 2012
W by Decision

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jun 21, 2008 — W vs Dante Rivera Δ+29Feb 7, 2009 — W vs Steve Bruno Δ+27Aug 8, 2009 — W vs Dan Cramer Δ+27Nov 14, 2009 — L vs Nick Osipczak Δ-38Aug 1, 2010 — W vs DaMarques Johnson Δ+32Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Sean Pierson Δ-19Sep 17, 2011 — L vs Lance Benoist Δ-19Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Henry Martinez Δ+14Nov 17, 2012 — W vs John Maguire Δ+15 14891522155515891622 2009201020112012 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":172.3,"elo":1529,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Dante Rivera","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":146.2,"y":130,"elo":1555,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Steve Bruno","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":242.6,"y":87.7,"elo":1582,"date":"2009-08-08","opp":"Dan Cramer","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":294.4,"y":147.7,"elo":1544,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Nick Osipczak","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":432,"y":96.9,"elo":1576,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"DaMarques Johnson","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":501.9,"y":127.8,"elo":1557,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Sean Pierson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":650,"y":157.4,"elo":1538,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Lance Benoist","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":724.1,"y":134.8,"elo":1552,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Henry Martinez","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":110.4,"elo":1568,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"John Maguire","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 17, 2012 John Maguire W +15
Feb 4, 2012 Henry Martinez W +14
Sep 17, 2011 Lance Benoist L -19
Dec 11, 2010 Sean Pierson L -19
Aug 1, 2010 DaMarques Johnson W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.12 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.85 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.88 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
51% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
87% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.58 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
17%
1 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
83% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (83%) 5
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.9
actual +1 vs expected