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Matthew Riddle "Deep Waters"

Inactive · age 40 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 76" 193 cm
At a glance
  • 90% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2008
Elo rating
1512
Global Elo 1566 ±41
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+2
Δ90d -1 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Nov 17, 2012
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 8m
Avg fight time
14:16
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.0
Ground control
58m
Since last fight
13y 7mo

Honest Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jun 21, 2008 — W vs Dante Rivera Δ+29Feb 7, 2009 — W vs Steve Bruno Δ+27Aug 8, 2009 — W vs Dan Cramer Δ+27Nov 14, 2009 — L vs Nick Osipczak Δ-38Aug 1, 2010 — W vs DaMarques Johnson Δ+32Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Sean Pierson Δ-19Sep 17, 2011 — L vs Lance Benoist Δ-19Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Henry Martinez Δ+14Nov 17, 2012 — W vs John Maguire Δ+15 1440146014801500152015401560 2009201020112012 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":320.7,"elo":1474,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Dante Rivera","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":193.3,"y":249.7,"elo":1500,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Steve Bruno","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":274.7,"y":178.8,"elo":1527,"date":"2009-08-08","opp":"Dan Cramer","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":318.5,"y":279.3,"elo":1489,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Nick Osipczak","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":434.8,"y":194.3,"elo":1521,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"DaMarques Johnson","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":493.8,"y":246,"elo":1502,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Sean Pierson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":619,"y":295.6,"elo":1483,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Lance Benoist","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":681.7,"y":257.7,"elo":1497,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Henry Martinez","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":810,"y":216.9,"elo":1512,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"John Maguire","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 17, 2012 John Maguire W +15
Feb 4, 2012 Henry Martinez W +14
Sep 17, 2011 Lance Benoist L -19
Dec 11, 2010 Sean Pierson L -19
Aug 1, 2010 DaMarques Johnson W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
17%
1 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
83% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (83%) 5
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 405 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
37% Distance
  • Distance 37%
  • Clinch 26%
  • Ground 37%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
John Maguire
Elo 1537 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.9
+1.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 9 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1537

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Matthew Riddle on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.