HonestElo
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Justin Edwards

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1469 ±36
LCB 1422
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Jun 6, 2015
L by Submission

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jun 4, 2011 — L vs Clay Harvison Δ-29Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Jorge Lopez Δ+31Nov 5, 2011 — L vs John Maguire Δ-29Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Josh Neer Δ+36Aug 28, 2013 — L vs Brandon Thatch Δ-34Jan 15, 2014 — L vs Ramsey Nijem Δ-15Jun 6, 2015 — L vs Joe Proctor Δ-15 14051441147715131549 2012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":138.5,"elo":1471,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Clay Harvison","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":85.1,"y":92.5,"elo":1502,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Jorge Lopez","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":113.7,"y":135.2,"elo":1473,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"John Maguire","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":308.8,"y":82.9,"elo":1509,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":499.2,"y":133,"elo":1475,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Brandon Thatch","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":580.7,"y":154.8,"elo":1460,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Ramsey Nijem","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":177.1,"elo":1445,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Joe Proctor","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 6, 2015 Joe Proctor L -15
Jan 15, 2014 Ramsey Nijem L -15
Aug 28, 2013 Brandon Thatch L -34
Oct 5, 2012 Josh Neer W +36
Nov 5, 2011 John Maguire L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.44 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.01 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.94 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
27% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
27% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.88 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1504
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.3
actual -1 vs expected