HonestElo
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Daniel Roberts

Inactive · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1521 ±37
LCB 1472
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Jan 20, 2012
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Mar 21, 2010 — L vs John Howard Δ-25Jul 3, 2010 — W vs Forrest Petz Δ+28Oct 23, 2010 — W vs Mike Guymon Δ+33Jan 1, 2011 — W vs Greg Soto Δ+33Apr 30, 2011 — L vs Claude Patrick Δ-29Jun 26, 2011 — L vs Rich Attonito Δ-17Jan 20, 2012 — L vs Charlie Brenneman Δ-15 14351478152115651608 20112012 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":187.2,"elo":1475,"date":"2010-03-21","opp":"John Howard","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":156.3,"y":152.6,"elo":1503,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Forrest Petz","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":298.7,"y":112.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2010-10-23","opp":"Mike Guymon","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":387.7,"y":72.8,"elo":1568,"date":"2011-01-01","opp":"Greg Soto","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":539,"y":108.7,"elo":1539,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Claude Patrick","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":611.5,"y":129,"elo":1522,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Rich Attonito","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":147.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2012-01-20","opp":"Charlie Brenneman","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 20, 2012 Charlie Brenneman L -15
Jun 26, 2011 Rich Attonito L -17
Apr 30, 2011 Claude Patrick L -29
Jan 1, 2011 Greg Soto W +33
Oct 23, 2010 Mike Guymon W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
0.65 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
20% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.03 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.20 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
40% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.20 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
67% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (67%) 2 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1530
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.4
actual 0 vs expected