HonestElo
← welterweight

Siyar Bahadurzada

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1545 ±40
LCB 1493
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Sep 28, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Apr 14, 2012 — W vs Paulo Thiago Δ+39Mar 2, 2013 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-22Dec 28, 2013 — L vs John Howard Δ-26Mar 5, 2016 — W vs Brandon Thatch Δ+35Sep 2, 2017 — W vs Rob Wilkinson Δ+31Apr 21, 2018 — W vs Luan Chagas Δ+16Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Curtis Millender Δ-16Sep 28, 2019 — L vs Ismail Naurdiev Δ-18 14521492153315731613 201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":121.1,"elo":1539,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Paulo Thiago","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":1,"x":124.8,"y":149.5,"elo":1518,"date":"2013-03-02","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":2,"x":218.9,"y":183.6,"elo":1492,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"John Howard","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":468.6,"y":137.2,"elo":1527,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Brandon Thatch","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":639.5,"y":97.2,"elo":1558,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Rob Wilkinson","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":711.7,"y":76.4,"elo":1573,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Luan Chagas","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":790.6,"y":97.5,"elo":1557,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Curtis Millender","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":121.4,"elo":1539,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Ismail Naurdiev","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 28, 2019 Ismail Naurdiev L -18
Dec 29, 2018 Curtis Millender L -16
Apr 21, 2018 Luan Chagas W +16
Sep 2, 2017 Rob Wilkinson W +31
Mar 5, 2016 Brandon Thatch W +35

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.64 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.93 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.20 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
62% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.30 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
4 / 4
Finish rate
KO
3
75% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 3 (75%) 3 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
2 50%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.9
actual 0 vs expected