HonestElo
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Chris Wilson

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1478 ±34
LCB 1434
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +28 · Δ1y +28
Last fight
Sep 16, 2009
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Mar 1, 2008 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-16Aug 9, 2008 — W vs Steve Bruno Δ+30Jan 31, 2009 — L vs John Howard Δ-30Sep 16, 2009 — L vs Mike Pyle Δ-34 14101446148215181554 2009 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":126.9,"elo":1484,"date":"2008-03-01","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":1,"x":267.2,"y":82.7,"elo":1514,"date":"2008-08-09","opp":"Steve Bruno","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":531.6,"y":126.8,"elo":1484,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"John Howard","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":177.3,"elo":1450,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Mike Pyle","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 16, 2009 Mike Pyle L -34
Jan 31, 2009 John Howard L -30
Aug 9, 2008 Steve Bruno W +30
Mar 1, 2008 Jon Fitch L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.22 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.30 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.25 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
60% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.50 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1535
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.8
actual -1 vs expected