HonestElo
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Nick Diaz

Inactive · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1545 ±37
LCB 1496
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Sep 25, 2021
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Sep 26, 2003 — W vs Jeremy Jackson Δ+33Apr 2, 2004 — W vs Robbie Lawler Δ+36Aug 21, 2004 — L vs Karo Parisyan Δ-34Feb 5, 2005 — W vs Drew Fickett Δ+30Jun 4, 2005 — W vs Koji Oishi Δ+25Nov 5, 2005 — L vs Diego Sanchez Δ-17Feb 4, 2006 — L vs Joe Riggs Δ-19Apr 15, 2006 — L vs Sean Sherk Δ-17Aug 26, 2006 — W vs Josh Neer Δ+17Nov 18, 2006 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+16Oct 29, 2011 — W vs BJ Penn Δ+20Feb 4, 2012 — L vs Carlos Condit Δ-18Mar 16, 2013 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-9Sep 25, 2021 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-16 14931527156115951630 200620092012201520182021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":173.8,"elo":1533,"date":"2003-09-26","opp":"Jeremy Jackson","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":48.5,"y":118.2,"elo":1569,"date":"2004-04-02","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":66.8,"y":171.2,"elo":1535,"date":"2004-08-21","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":88.5,"y":124.9,"elo":1565,"date":"2005-02-05","opp":"Drew Fickett","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":104,"y":86.2,"elo":1590,"date":"2005-06-04","opp":"Koji Oishi","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":123.9,"y":112.4,"elo":1573,"date":"2005-11-05","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":135.7,"y":141.8,"elo":1554,"date":"2006-02-04","opp":"Joe Riggs","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":144.8,"y":168.9,"elo":1536,"date":"2006-04-15","opp":"Sean Sherk","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":162,"y":142.7,"elo":1553,"date":"2006-08-26","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":172.9,"y":118.5,"elo":1569,"date":"2006-11-18","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":407,"y":87.4,"elo":1589,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":419.7,"y":115.5,"elo":1571,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":472.3,"y":129.7,"elo":1562,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-9},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":155.2,"elo":1545,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 25, 2021 Robbie Lawler L -16
Mar 16, 2013 Georges St-Pierre L -9
Feb 4, 2012 Carlos Condit L -18
Oct 29, 2011 BJ Penn W +20
Nov 18, 2006 Gleison Tibau W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.98 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.44 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.05 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.97 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
86%
6 / 7
Finish rate
KO
4
57% of wins
SUB
2
29% of wins
DEC
1
14% of wins
KO: 4 (57%) 4 Sub: 2 (29%) 2 Dec: 1 (14%) 1
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
2 33%
R3
2 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1632
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual 0 vs expected