HonestElo
← welterweight

Joshua Burkman

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1466 ±25
LCB 1434
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-12-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-5
Δ90d +32 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Feb 18, 2018
L by Submission

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2005 — W vs Sammy Morgan Δ+33Jan 16, 2006 — W vs Drew Fickett Δ+34Apr 6, 2006 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-37Jul 8, 2006 — W vs Josh Neer Δ+29Jan 25, 2007 — W vs Chad Reiner Δ+24May 26, 2007 — L vs Karo Parisyan Δ-15Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Forrest Petz Δ+13Jan 23, 2008 — L vs Mike Swick Δ-14Jun 21, 2008 — L vs Dustin Hazelett Δ-20Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Pete Sell Δ-22May 23, 2015 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-12Aug 23, 2015 — L vs Patrick Cote Δ-20Feb 6, 2016 — W vs KJ Noons Δ+17May 29, 2016 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-14Oct 1, 2016 — L vs Zak Ottow Δ-16Mar 11, 2017 — L vs Michel Prazeres Δ-14Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-17Feb 18, 2018 — L vs Alex Morono Δ-15 13941452150915661624 2008201120142017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":107.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2005-11-05","opp":"Sammy Morgan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":37.7,"y":76,"elo":1567,"date":"2006-01-16","opp":"Drew Fickett","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":52.9,"y":110,"elo":1531,"date":"2006-04-06","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":70.5,"y":83.1,"elo":1560,"date":"2006-07-08","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":108.7,"y":61,"elo":1584,"date":"2007-01-25","opp":"Chad Reiner","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":131.6,"y":74.9,"elo":1569,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":159.5,"y":63.3,"elo":1581,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Forrest Petz","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":177.6,"y":76.3,"elo":1567,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Mike Swick","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":206.1,"y":94.9,"elo":1547,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Dustin Hazelett","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":230,"y":115,"elo":1525,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Pete Sell","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":10,"x":685.8,"y":126.3,"elo":1513,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":703.2,"y":144.7,"elo":1493,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":734.9,"y":129,"elo":1510,"date":"2016-02-06","opp":"KJ Noons","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":756.4,"y":142.2,"elo":1496,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":780.1,"y":156.8,"elo":1480,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Zak Ottow","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":810.7,"y":169.6,"elo":1466,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":837.3,"y":185.5,"elo":1449,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":199,"elo":1434,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 18, 2018 Alex Morono L -15
Jul 29, 2017 Drew Dober L -17
Mar 11, 2017 Michel Prazeres L -14
Oct 1, 2016 Zak Ottow L -16
May 29, 2016 Paul Felder L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.39 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.76 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.43 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.29 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
1
17% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 1 (17%) 1 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1526
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.9
actual -3 vs expected