HonestElo
← welterweight

Joshua Burkman "The People's Warrior"

Inactive · age 46 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • 5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2005
Elo rating
1434
Global Elo 1466 ±25
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-12-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-5
Δ90d +32 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Feb 18, 2018
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 7m
Avg fight time
10:23
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
1.5
Ground control
51m
Since last fight
8y 4mo

Honest Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2005 — W vs Sammy Morgan Δ+33Jan 16, 2006 — W vs Drew Fickett Δ+34Apr 6, 2006 — L vs Jon Fitch Δ-37Jul 8, 2006 — W vs Josh Neer Δ+29Jan 25, 2007 — W vs Chad Reiner Δ+24May 26, 2007 — L vs Karo Parisyan Δ-15Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Forrest Petz Δ+13Jan 23, 2008 — L vs Mike Swick Δ-14Jun 21, 2008 — L vs Dustin Hazelett Δ-20Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Pete Sell Δ-22May 23, 2015 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-12Aug 23, 2015 — L vs Patrick Cote Δ-20Feb 6, 2016 — W vs KJ Noons Δ+17May 29, 2016 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-14Oct 1, 2016 — L vs Zak Ottow Δ-16Mar 11, 2017 — L vs Michel Prazeres Δ-14Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-17Feb 18, 2018 — L vs Alex Morono Δ-15 140014501500155016001650 2008201120142017 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":240.7,"elo":1532,"date":"2005-11-05","opp":"Sammy Morgan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":101.6,"y":196.8,"elo":1567,"date":"2006-01-16","opp":"Drew Fickett","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":114.4,"y":243.9,"elo":1530,"date":"2006-04-06","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":129.3,"y":206.6,"elo":1559,"date":"2006-07-08","opp":"Josh Neer","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":161.6,"y":176,"elo":1583,"date":"2007-01-25","opp":"Chad Reiner","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":181,"y":195.3,"elo":1568,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":204.5,"y":179.2,"elo":1580,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Forrest Petz","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":219.8,"y":197.3,"elo":1566,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Mike Swick","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":243.9,"y":223,"elo":1546,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Dustin Hazelett","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":264.1,"y":250.8,"elo":1524,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Pete Sell","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":10,"x":649.3,"y":266.5,"elo":1512,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":664,"y":291.9,"elo":1492,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Patrick Cote","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":690.8,"y":270.2,"elo":1509,"date":"2016-02-06","opp":"KJ Noons","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":708.9,"y":288.4,"elo":1495,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":729,"y":308.6,"elo":1479,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Zak Ottow","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":754.8,"y":326.4,"elo":1465,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":777.3,"y":348.4,"elo":1448,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":810,"y":367.1,"elo":1434,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 18, 2018 Alex Morono L -15
Jul 29, 2017 Drew Dober L -17
Mar 11, 2017 Michel Prazeres L -14
Oct 1, 2016 Zak Ottow L -16
May 29, 2016 Paul Felder L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
1
17% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 1 (17%) 1 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 501 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
48% Head
  • Head 48%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 36%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
65% Distance
  • Distance 65%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
58%
of losses by finish
7 of 12 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 5 Sub 5 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1526
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Drew Fickett
Elo 1545 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.9
−2.9 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 18 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1521

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Joshua Burkman on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.