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Rogerio Nogueira "Minotouro"

Inactive · age 50 · Southpaw · 6'2" 188 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 67% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2009
Elo rating
1492
Global Elo 1541 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-7-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Jul 25, 2020
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 3m
Avg fight time
9:27
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.2
Since last fight
5y 11mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Nov 21, 2009 — W vs Luiz Cane Δ+42May 29, 2010 — W vs Jason Brilz Δ+30Sep 25, 2010 — L vs Ryan Bader Δ-25Mar 26, 2011 — L vs Phil Davis Δ-23Dec 10, 2011 — W vs Tito Ortiz Δ+42Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Rashad Evans Δ+22Jul 26, 2014 — L vs Anthony Johnson Δ-18Aug 1, 2015 — L vs Mauricio Rua Δ-17May 14, 2016 — W vs Patrick Cummins Δ+18Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Ryan Bader Δ-13Sep 22, 2018 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+21May 11, 2019 — L vs Ryan Spann Δ-21Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Mauricio Rua Δ-14 1440146014801500152015401560 20112013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":273.7,"elo":1491,"date":"2009-11-21","opp":"Luiz Cane","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":1,"x":124.9,"y":193.5,"elo":1521,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Jason Brilz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":146.9,"y":259.6,"elo":1496,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Ryan Bader","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":180.5,"y":322.3,"elo":1473,"date":"2011-03-26","opp":"Phil Davis","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":4,"x":228.3,"y":210.8,"elo":1515,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":5,"x":305.9,"y":151.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":6,"x":405.4,"y":200.4,"elo":1519,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Anthony Johnson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":473.9,"y":245.2,"elo":1502,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":526.9,"y":197.7,"elo":1520,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Patrick Cummins","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":561.8,"y":232.1,"elo":1507,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Ryan Bader","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":10,"x":685.9,"y":176.4,"elo":1528,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":728.6,"y":232.7,"elo":1507,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":271.1,"elo":1492,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 25, 2020 Mauricio Rua L -14
May 11, 2019 Ryan Spann L -21
Sep 22, 2018 Sam Alvey W +21
Nov 19, 2016 Ryan Bader L -13
May 14, 2016 Patrick Cummins W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
4 / 6
Finish rate
KO
4
67% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
33% of wins
KO: 4 (67%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (33%) 2
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
3 75%
R2
1 25%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 341 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
  • Distance 72%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 15%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
43%
of losses by finish
3 of 7 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1589
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Rashad Evans
Elo 1709 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.7
+0.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1595
1593
Notable wins
Rashad Evans 1709 Tito Ortiz 1617 Sam Alvey 1605

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1654
Azamat Murzakanov
#3 · Elo 1611
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1604
Paulo Costa
#5 · Elo 1592
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Rogerio Nogueira on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.