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Dustin Pague "The Disciple"

Inactive · age 38 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% of wins by submission
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2011
Elo rating
1402
Global Elo 1440 ±29
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +31 · Δ1y +31
Last fight
Oct 19, 2013
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
58m
Avg fight time
9:44
Fights per year
3.2
Ground control
13m
Since last fight
12y 8mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Dec 3, 2011 — L vs John Albert Δ-33Jun 8, 2012 — W vs Jared Papazian Δ+34Jun 22, 2012 — L vs Ken Stone Δ-29Aug 11, 2012 — L vs Chico Camus Δ-26Jun 15, 2013 — L vs Yves Jabouin Δ-22Oct 19, 2013 — L vs Kyoji Horiguchi Δ-14 1375140014251450147515001525 20122013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":227,"elo":1461,"date":"2011-12-03","opp":"John Albert","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":287.3,"y":154.9,"elo":1495,"date":"2012-06-08","opp":"Jared Papazian","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":302,"y":216.3,"elo":1466,"date":"2012-06-22","opp":"Ken Stone","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":354.5,"y":272.8,"elo":1439,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Chico Camus","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":677.8,"y":320.8,"elo":1417,"date":"2013-06-15","opp":"Yves Jabouin","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":351.5,"elo":1402,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Kyoji Horiguchi","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 19, 2013 Kyoji Horiguchi L -14
Jun 15, 2013 Yves Jabouin L -22
Aug 11, 2012 Chico Camus L -26
Jun 22, 2012 Ken Stone L -29
Jun 8, 2012 Jared Papazian W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 96 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
60% Distance
  • Distance 60%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 26%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
40%
of losses by finish
2 of 5
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 3 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1499
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jared Papazian
Elo 1474 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.7
−1.7 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Umar Nurmagomedov
#3 · Elo 1649
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Dustin Pague on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.