HonestElo
← bantamweight

Dustin Pague

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1440 ±29
LCB 1403
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +32 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Oct 19, 2013
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Dec 3, 2011 — L vs John Albert Δ-33Jun 8, 2012 — W vs Jared Papazian Δ+34Jun 22, 2012 — L vs Ken Stone Δ-29Aug 11, 2012 — L vs Chico Camus Δ-26Jun 15, 2013 — L vs Yves Jabouin Δ-22Oct 19, 2013 — L vs Kyoji Horiguchi Δ-14 13691412145514981541 20122013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":114.9,"elo":1467,"date":"2011-12-03","opp":"John Albert","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":257.5,"y":73.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2012-06-08","opp":"Jared Papazian","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":274.9,"y":108.7,"elo":1472,"date":"2012-06-22","opp":"Ken Stone","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":337,"y":141.3,"elo":1445,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Chico Camus","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":719.5,"y":169,"elo":1423,"date":"2013-06-15","opp":"Yves Jabouin","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":186.8,"elo":1409,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Kyoji Horiguchi","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 19, 2013 Kyoji Horiguchi L -14
Jun 15, 2013 Yves Jabouin L -22
Aug 11, 2012 Chico Camus L -26
Jun 22, 2012 Ken Stone L -29
Jun 8, 2012 Jared Papazian W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.48 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.66 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
41% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.92 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
56% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.31 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1499
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.7
actual -2 vs expected