HonestElo
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Oban Elliott

Active #70 welterweight
Elo rating
1513 ±38
LCB 1464
Rank
#70
top 76% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d -35 · Δ1y -70
Last fight
Jan 31, 2026
L by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Feb 17, 2024 — W vs Val Woodburn Δ+26Jul 27, 2024 — W vs Preston Parsons Δ+28Nov 16, 2024 — W vs Bassil Hafez Δ+29Jun 21, 2025 — L vs Seokhyeon Ko Δ-36Jan 31, 2026 — L vs Jonathan Micallef Δ-35 14731511154815861624 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":161.2,"elo":1526,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Val Woodburn","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":216.1,"y":122,"elo":1554,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Preston Parsons","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":349.8,"y":80.4,"elo":1584,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Bassil Hafez","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":608.7,"y":130.6,"elo":1548,"date":"2025-06-21","opp":"Seokhyeon Ko","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":179.6,"elo":1513,"date":"2026-01-31","opp":"Jonathan Micallef","result":"L","delta":-35}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 31, 2026 Jonathan Micallef L -35
Jun 21, 2025 Seokhyeon Ko L -36
Nov 16, 2024 Bassil Hafez W +29
Jul 27, 2024 Preston Parsons W +28
Feb 17, 2024 Val Woodburn W +26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.27 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.93 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.86 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
52% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1506
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual 0 vs expected