HonestElo
← welterweight

Aj Fletcher

Inactive
Elo rating
1484 ±34
LCB 1439
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +23 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Sep 23, 2023
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Mar 12, 2022 — L vs Matthew Semelsberger Δ-24Aug 20, 2022 — L vs Ange Loosa Δ-29Feb 18, 2023 — W vs Themba Gorimbo Δ+38Sep 23, 2023 — L vs Bryan Battle Δ-24 14071436146614961525 2023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":111.9,"elo":1476,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Matthew Semelsberger","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":268.9,"y":164.3,"elo":1447,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Ange Loosa","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":545.9,"y":95.7,"elo":1485,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"Themba Gorimbo","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":139.1,"elo":1461,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Bryan Battle","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 23, 2023 Bryan Battle L -24
Feb 18, 2023 Themba Gorimbo W +38
Aug 20, 2022 Ange Loosa L -29
Mar 12, 2022 Matthew Semelsberger L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.06 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.40 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.20 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.90 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1528
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.7
actual -1 vs expected