Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainArnold AllenvsMelquizael Costa
- 2featherweightDooho ChoivsDaniel Santos
- 3Not linkedbantamweightMalcolm WellmakervsJuan Diaz
- 4Not linkedcatch weightModestas BukauskasvsChristian Edwards
- 5bantamweightTimmy CuambavsBenardo Sopaj
- 6welterweightNikolay VeretennikovvsKhaos Williams
- 8Not linkedlightweightTommy GanttvsArtur Minev
- 9women's bantamweightKetlen VieiravsJacqueline Cavalcanti
- 10middleweightCody BrundagevsAndre Petroski
- 11women's strawweightAlice ArdeleanvsPolyana Viana
- 12flyweightDaniel BarezvsLuis Gurule
- 13women's strawweightShauna BannonvsNicolle Caliari
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Tuco Tokkos 41.1% · Ivan Erslan 58.9%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Tuco Tokkos 57.8% · Ivan Erslan 42.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Tale of the tape
| 1-3-0 | UFC record | 1-3-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| -1 | Streak | +1 |
| 36 | Age | 34 |
| 6'4" 193 cm | Height | 6'2" 188 cm |
| 76" 193 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1445 | Global Elo | 1457 |
| 1394 | Elo rating | 1412 |
Tuco Tokkos — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by submission
- Top 5 · light heavyweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev8.45
- 2Jimmy Crute2.13
- 3Nikita Krylov1.14
- 4Billy Elekana0.85
- 5Tuco Tokkos0.70
Ivan Erslan — Notable ▼
Tuco Tokkos — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 96 landed total · career
- Head 67%
- Body 11%
- Leg 22%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 7%
Ivan Erslan — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 117 landed total · career
- Head 82%
- Body 14%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 88%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Iwo Baraniewski11.29
- 2Zhang Mingyang6.64
- 3Carlos Ulberg6.61
- 4Navajo Stirling6.41
- 5Paulo Costa6.15
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay63%
- 2Paulo Costa59%
- 3Rodolfo Bellato59%
- 4Zhang Mingyang59%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Oumar Sy1.87
- 2Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev2.25
- 3Navajo Stirling2.46
- 4Magomed Ankalaev2.49
- 5Austen Lane2.56
- 1Oumar Sy67%
- 2Caio Machado62%
- 3Navajo Stirling59%
- 4Robert Whittaker59%
- 5Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev58%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev12.68
- 2Jimmy Crute4.64
- 3Julius Walker4.07
- 4Ion Cutelaba4.02
- 5Bruno Lopes2.91
- 1Iwo Baraniewski100%
- 2Zhang Mingyang100%
- 3Julius Walker100%
- 4Bruno Lopes100%
- 5Rodolfo Bellato92%
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev8.45
- 2Jimmy Crute2.13
- 3Nikita Krylov1.14
- 4Billy Elekana0.85
- 5Tuco Tokkos0.70
- 1Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev10.07
- 2Julius Walker8.17
- 3Austen Lane6.24
- 4Jimmy Crute6.02
- 5Nikita Krylov5.30
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Ivan Erslan has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1514 vs 1477, 0 quality wins to 0.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- May 16, 2026
- Jul 12, 2025
- Dec 14, 2024
- May 18, 2024
- May 16, 2026
- Sep 27, 2025
- May 10, 2025
- Sep 28, 2024