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✓ Benardo Sopaj won · by Submission · R2

Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj — Honest Elo matchup

bantamweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
May 16, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Timmy Cuamba
#54 3-3-0
Elo 1446
VS
Corner B
Benardo Sopaj
#45 2-1-0
Elo 1479
Final result · recorded May 17, 2026
Benardo Sopaj
defeated Timmy Cuamba by Submission in round 2

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Timmy Cuamba 36.0% · Benardo Sopaj 64.0%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Timmy Cuamba 50.5% · Benardo Sopaj 49.5%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Main event · featherweight Dooho Choi vs Daniel Santos featherweight Nikolay Veretennikov vs Khaos Williams welterweight Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan light heavyweight Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti women's bantamweight Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski middleweight Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana women's strawweight Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule flyweight Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari women's strawweight

Notable

Cuamba

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

3-3-0 UFC record 2-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +2
27 Age 26
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 66" 168 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1499 Global Elo 1532
1446 Elo rating 1479
Timmy Cuamba — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 67% of wins by KO or submission
Benardo Sopaj — Notable ▼
At a glance

Timmy Cuamba — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 199 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 11%

Benardo Sopaj — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 163 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
86% Head
  • Head 86%
  • Body 6%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
51% Distance
  • Distance 51%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 39%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.88
4.39
div avg 4.16
46%
58%
div avg 50%
3.27
4.69
div avg 3.34
58%
53%
div avg 58%
2.17
2.43
div avg 1.99
43%
60%
div avg 39%
69%
77%
div avg 67%
0.22
0.81
div avg 0.45
3
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Timmy Cuamba
67% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Benardo Sopaj
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Benardo Sopaj
50% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Timmy Cuamba
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1501 (Timmy Cuamba) vs 1501 (Benardo Sopaj).

Timmy Cuamba red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1501
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Changho Lee
Elo 1556 at fight time
Expected wins
2.8
+0.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1500
1500
Benardo Sopaj blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1501
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Timmy Cuamba
Elo 1514 at fight time
Expected wins
1.4
+0.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1500
1514
Corner A recent form
Timmy Cuamba
Corner B recent form
Benardo Sopaj
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Timmy Cuamba & Benardo Sopaj on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.