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✓ Nicolle Caliari won · by Submission · R3
women's strawweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
May 16, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Shauna Bannon
#43 2-3-0
Elo 1406
VS
Corner B
Nicolle Caliari
#36 1-2-0
Elo 1424
Final result · recorded May 16, 2026
Nicolle Caliari
defeated Shauna Bannon by Submission in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Shauna Bannon 30.3% · Nicolle Caliari 69.7%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Shauna Bannon 66.1% · Nicolle Caliari 33.9%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Main event · featherweight Dooho Choi vs Daniel Santos featherweight Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj bantamweight Nikolay Veretennikov vs Khaos Williams welterweight Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan light heavyweight Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti women's bantamweight Cody Brundage vs Andre Petroski middleweight Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana women's strawweight Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule flyweight

Tale of the tape

2-3-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
-2 Streak +1
32 Age 29
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'3" 160 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 62" 158 cm
Switch Stance Orthodox
1462 Global Elo 1478
1406 Elo rating 1424
Shauna Bannon — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by submission
Nicolle Caliari — Notable ▼
At a glance

Shauna Bannon — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 225 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
46% Head
  • Head 46%
  • Body 35%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 4%

Nicolle Caliari — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 119 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.85
3.00
div avg 4.21
45%
39%
div avg 48%
3.25
5.88
div avg 3.59
46%
53%
div avg 55%
0.00
3.03
div avg 1.94
0%
26%
div avg 46%
47%
100%
div avg 66%
0.51
0.38
div avg 0.55
1
5
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Shauna Bannon
50% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Nicolle Caliari
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses
Nicolle Caliari
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Shauna Bannon
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1490 (Shauna Bannon) vs 1492 (Nicolle Caliari).

Shauna Bannon red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1490
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Puja Tomar
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins
2.6
−0.6 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1464
1439
Nicolle Caliari blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1492
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Shauna Bannon
Elo 1501 at fight time
Expected wins
1.4
−0.4 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1471
1501
Corner A recent form
Shauna Bannon
Corner B recent form
Nicolle Caliari
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Shauna Bannon & Nicolle Caliari on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.