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Antonio Carlos Junior "Cara de Sapato"

Inactive · age 36 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 79" 201 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 71% of wins by submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1504
Global Elo 1549 ±35
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 5 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Jan 23, 2021
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 29m
Avg fight time
12:24
Title fights
1-0
Fights per year
1.8
Ground control
1h 10m
Since last fight
5y 5mo

Honest Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
May 31, 2014 — W vs Vitor Miranda Δ+36Dec 20, 2014 — L vs Patrick Cummins Δ-28Jun 27, 2015 — W vs Eddie Gordon Δ+30Mar 19, 2016 — L vs Daniel Kelly Δ-32Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Leonardo Guimaraes Δ+30Dec 30, 2016 — W vs Marvin Vettori Δ+16Jun 3, 2017 — W vs Eric Spicely Δ+18Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Jack Marshman Δ+17Apr 14, 2018 — W vs Tim Boetsch Δ+18May 18, 2019 — L vs Ian Heinisch Δ-19Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Uriah Hall Δ-18Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Brad Tavares Δ-14 14251450147515001525155015751600 201620182020 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":294.6,"elo":1488,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Vitor Miranda","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":150.2,"y":346.7,"elo":1460,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Patrick Cummins","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":206.2,"y":291.7,"elo":1490,"date":"2015-06-27","opp":"Eddie Gordon","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":285,"y":350,"elo":1458,"date":"2016-03-19","opp":"Daniel Kelly","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":339,"y":295.9,"elo":1487,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Leonardo Guimaraes","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":369.8,"y":267,"elo":1503,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":415.8,"y":234.1,"elo":1521,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Eric Spicely","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":459.3,"y":203.7,"elo":1538,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Jack Marshman","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":509.1,"y":171.6,"elo":1555,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":627.4,"y":206.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Ian Heinisch","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":662.7,"y":239.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Uriah Hall","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":810,"y":265.9,"elo":1504,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Brad Tavares","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 23, 2021 Brad Tavares L -14
Sep 14, 2019 Uriah Hall L -18
May 18, 2019 Ian Heinisch L -19
Apr 14, 2018 Tim Boetsch W +18
Oct 28, 2017 Jack Marshman W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
5
71% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 5 (71%) 5 Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
1 20%
R3
2 40%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 289 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Distance
  • Distance 64%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 26%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
20%
of losses by finish
1 of 5
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1556
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Tim Boetsch
Elo 1570 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.3
+0.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 12 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1599

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Antonio Carlos Junior on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.