Jafel Filho vs Bruno Silva — Honest Elo matchup
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Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Filho +50 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Finishes 100% of wins (7 KO · 2 SUB; 44% of wins end in round 1).
7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Both enter off a loss (Apr 2026 / Jun 2026).
Reach advantage of ~6".
Tale of the tape
| 3-3-0 | UFC record | 9-13-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 3 | Finishes | KO 7 · Sub 2 |
| -1 | Streak | -2 |
| 33 | Age | 37 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 68" 173 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1529 | Global Elo | 1474 |
| 1475 | Elo rating | 1429 |
Jafel Filho — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · flyweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 100% of wins by submission
- Top 5 · flyweightLowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Bruno Silva — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO or submission
- 44% of wins finished in round 1
- 90% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Jafel Filho — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 93 landed total · career
- Head 52%
- Body 28%
- Leg 20%
- Distance 63%
- Clinch 15%
- Ground 22%
Bruno Silva — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 865 landed total · career
- Head 66%
- Body 20%
- Leg 14%
- Distance 80%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 12%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Xiao Long88%
- 5Caolan Loughran88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 2Rafael Estevam7.79
- 3Rinya Nakamura6.94
- 4Raul Rosas Jr.6.68
- 5Brady Hiestand6.54
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Bruno Silva has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1536 vs 1508, 1 quality wins to 0.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Apr 25, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- May 31, 2025
- Mar 16, 2024
- Jul 22, 2023
- Jun 6, 2026
- Mar 14, 2026
- Oct 18, 2025
- Jun 7, 2025
- May 10, 2025