HonestElo
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TJ O'Brien

Inactive Provisional · Orthodox · 188 cm
Elo rating
1493 ±20
LCB 1467
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +47 · Δ1y +47
Last fight
Aug 14, 2011
L by Submission

Elo history

2 fights · tap & drag
Nov 20, 2010 — L vs Paul Kelly Δ-31Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Cole Miller Δ-23 14061432145814831509 2011 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":106.4,"elo":1469,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Paul Kelly","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":876,"y":153.6,"elo":1446,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 14, 2011 Cole Miller L -23
Nov 20, 2010 Paul Kelly L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.00 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.80 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
100% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
0% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1552
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
0.8
actual -1 vs expected