HonestElo
← lightweight

Shannon Gugerty

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1488 ±37
LCB 1440
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Mar 21, 2010
L by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jul 19, 2008 — W vs Dale Hartt Δ+33Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Spencer Fisher Δ-29Jul 11, 2009 — W vs Matt Grice Δ+29Nov 14, 2009 — L vs Terry Etim Δ-31Mar 21, 2010 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-31 14311466150215371573 20092010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":83.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-07-19","opp":"Dale Hartt","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":160.9,"y":127,"elo":1504,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":522.6,"y":83.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Matt Grice","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":698.6,"y":129.6,"elo":1502,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Terry Etim","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":176.5,"elo":1471,"date":"2010-03-21","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-31}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2010 Clay Guida L -31
Nov 14, 2009 Terry Etim L -31
Jul 11, 2009 Matt Grice W +29
Oct 25, 2008 Spencer Fisher L -29
Jul 19, 2008 Dale Hartt W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
0.98 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.47 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.67 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
28% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.67 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (100%) 2 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1522
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.4
actual 0 vs expected