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Matt Grice "The Real One"

Inactive · age 44 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • 92% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2007
Elo rating
1399
Global Elo 1444 ±34
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +30 · Δ1y +30
Last fight
Feb 23, 2013
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 2m
Avg fight time
8:48
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
1.2
Ground control
31m
Since last fight
13y 4mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Apr 21, 2007 — L vs Terry Etim Δ-33Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Jason Black Δ+29Feb 7, 2009 — L vs Matt Veach Δ-33Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Shannon Gugerty Δ-29Jun 26, 2011 — L vs Ricardo Lamas Δ-27Jun 8, 2012 — W vs Leonard Garcia Δ+19Feb 23, 2013 — L vs Dennis Bermudez Δ-12 13501375140014251450147515001525 200820092010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":223.1,"elo":1452,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"Terry Etim","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":151.4,"y":170.1,"elo":1481,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Jason Black","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":311.9,"y":229.9,"elo":1449,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Matt Veach","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":363.8,"y":283.5,"elo":1419,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Shannon Gugerty","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":605,"y":332.7,"elo":1392,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":722.3,"y":298.8,"elo":1411,"date":"2012-06-08","opp":"Leonard Garcia","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":320,"elo":1399,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Dennis Bermudez","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 23, 2013 Dennis Bermudez L -12
Jun 8, 2012 Leonard Garcia W +19
Jun 26, 2011 Ricardo Lamas L -27
Jul 11, 2009 Shannon Gugerty L -29
Feb 7, 2009 Matt Veach L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 252 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
78% Head
  • Head 78%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
50% Ground
  • Distance 27%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 50%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
80%
of losses by finish
4 of 5 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 2 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1498
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jason Black
Elo 1470 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.1
−1.1 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1524

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Matt Grice on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.