HonestElo
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Brian Foster

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1545 ±41
LCB 1492
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
+2
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Nov 20, 2010
W by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Sep 19, 2009 — L vs Rick Story Δ-36Nov 21, 2009 — W vs Brock Larson Δ+39Feb 20, 2010 — L vs Chris Lytle Δ-34Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Forrest Petz Δ+32Nov 20, 2010 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+38 14241463150215401579 2010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":181.1,"elo":1464,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Rick Story","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":149.7,"y":127,"elo":1504,"date":"2009-11-21","opp":"Brock Larson","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":331.3,"y":173.9,"elo":1470,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":744.3,"y":130.7,"elo":1501,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Forrest Petz","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":78.9,"elo":1539,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":38}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 20, 2010 Matt Brown W +38
Sep 15, 2010 Forrest Petz W +32
Feb 20, 2010 Chris Lytle L -34
Nov 21, 2009 Brock Larson W +39
Sep 19, 2009 Rick Story L -36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.02 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.00 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.25 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
60% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
38% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.13 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
2
67% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (67%) 2 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.4
actual +1 vs expected