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Forrest Petz "The Meat Cleaver"

Inactive · age 50 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • KO of the Night in last fight
  • UFC veteran since 2006
Elo rating
1421
Global Elo 1467 ±36
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +32 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Sep 15, 2010
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 21m
Avg fight time
11:35
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
15y 9mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Aug 17, 2006 — W vs Sammy Morgan Δ+26Oct 10, 2006 — L vs Marcus Davis Δ-38Apr 5, 2007 — L vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka Δ-29Jun 12, 2007 — W vs Luigi Fioravanti Δ+34Oct 20, 2007 — L vs Joshua Burkman Δ-22Jul 3, 2010 — L vs Daniel Roberts Δ-16Sep 15, 2010 — L vs Brian Foster Δ-18 1400142514501475150015251550 2007200820092010 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":172.6,"elo":1511,"date":"2006-08-17","opp":"Sammy Morgan","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":116.1,"y":254.3,"elo":1473,"date":"2006-10-10","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":2,"x":201.6,"y":317.4,"elo":1443,"date":"2007-04-05","opp":"Kuniyoshi Hironaka","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":234.5,"y":245.7,"elo":1477,"date":"2007-06-12","opp":"Luigi Fioravanti","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":297.3,"y":293.7,"elo":1455,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Joshua Burkman","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":774.2,"y":327.4,"elo":1439,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Daniel Roberts","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":364.8,"elo":1421,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Brian Foster","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 15, 2010 Brian Foster L -18
Jul 3, 2010 Daniel Roberts L -16
Oct 20, 2007 Joshua Burkman L -22
Jun 12, 2007 Luigi Fioravanti W +34
Apr 5, 2007 Kuniyoshi Hironaka L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 184 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 40%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
40%
of losses by finish
2 of 5 · usually R1
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1502
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Luigi Fioravanti
Elo 1516 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.4
−1.4 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1467
1470

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Forrest Petz on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.