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Matt Serra "The Terra"

Inactive · age 52 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 43% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2001
Elo rating
1484
Global Elo 1532 ±37
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d +10 · Δ1y +10
Last fight
Sep 25, 2010
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 48m
Avg fight time
12:02
Title fights
2-1
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.5
Ground control
58m
Since last fight
15y 9mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
May 4, 2001 — L vs Shonie Carter Δ-28Sep 28, 2001 — W vs Yves Edwards Δ+31Mar 22, 2002 — W vs Kelly Dullanty Δ+33Sep 27, 2002 — L vs BJ Penn Δ-25Feb 28, 2003 — L vs Din Thomas Δ-32Jan 31, 2004 — W vs Jeff Curran Δ+17Jun 19, 2004 — W vs Ivan Menjivar Δ+16Jun 4, 2005 — L vs Karo Parisyan Δ-14Nov 11, 2006 — W vs Chris Lytle Δ+18Apr 7, 2007 — W vs Georges St-Pierre Δ+31Apr 19, 2008 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-16May 23, 2009 — L vs Matt Hughes Δ-11Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Frank Trigg Δ+16Sep 25, 2010 — L vs Chris Lytle Δ-16 1400142514501475150015251550 2003200520072009 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":336.6,"elo":1434,"date":"2001-05-04","opp":"Shonie Carter","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":120.8,"y":270.3,"elo":1466,"date":"2001-09-28","opp":"Yves Edwards","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":157.6,"y":200.3,"elo":1498,"date":"2002-03-22","opp":"Kelly Dullanty","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":197.2,"y":252.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2002-09-27","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":4,"x":229.6,"y":320.4,"elo":1442,"date":"2003-02-28","opp":"Din Thomas","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":300.3,"y":284.3,"elo":1459,"date":"2004-01-31","opp":"Jeff Curran","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":329.7,"y":249.8,"elo":1475,"date":"2004-06-19","opp":"Ivan Menjivar","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":403.1,"y":278.8,"elo":1462,"date":"2005-06-04","opp":"Karo Parisyan","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":513.3,"y":239.8,"elo":1480,"date":"2006-11-11","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":544.1,"y":173,"elo":1511,"date":"2007-04-07","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":10,"x":623.4,"y":206.7,"elo":1495,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":707.2,"y":229.7,"elo":1485,"date":"2009-05-23","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":12,"x":761.5,"y":195.8,"elo":1500,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Frank Trigg","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":230.4,"elo":1484,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Chris Lytle","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 25, 2010 Chris Lytle L -16
Feb 6, 2010 Frank Trigg W +16
May 23, 2009 Matt Hughes L -11
Apr 19, 2008 Georges St-Pierre L -16
Apr 7, 2007 Georges St-Pierre W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
43%
3 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
4
57% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 4 (57%) 4
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 333 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 34%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
59% Distance
  • Distance 59%
  • Clinch 18%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
29%
of losses by finish
2 of 7
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 5 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1594
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Georges St-Pierre
Elo 1649 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1555
1533
Notable wins
Georges St-Pierre 1649

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Matt Serra on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.