HonestElo
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Thiago Silva

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1592 ±33
LCB 1549
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-3-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
+2
Δ90d -19 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Oct 9, 2013
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
May 26, 2007 — W vs James Irvin Δ+34Sep 8, 2007 — W vs Tomasz Drwal Δ+30Nov 17, 2007 — W vs Houston Alexander Δ+34May 24, 2008 — W vs Antonio Mendes Δ+24Jan 31, 2009 — L vs Lyoto Machida Δ-31Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Keith Jardine Δ+17Jan 2, 2010 — L vs Rashad Evans Δ-13Apr 14, 2012 — L vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ-15Jun 8, 2013 — W vs Rafael Cavalcante Δ+14Oct 9, 2013 — W vs Matt Hamill Δ+17 14941536157816191661 200820092010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.5,"elo":1534,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"James Irvin","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":62.4,"y":147.7,"elo":1564,"date":"2007-09-08","opp":"Tomasz Drwal","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":88,"y":105,"elo":1597,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Houston Alexander","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":157.2,"y":74.5,"elo":1621,"date":"2008-05-24","opp":"Antonio Mendes","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":249.4,"y":113.8,"elo":1590,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":326.3,"y":92.1,"elo":1608,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Keith Jardine","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":372.4,"y":108.4,"elo":1595,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":677.3,"y":127,"elo":1580,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":831,"y":108.9,"elo":1594,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Rafael Cavalcante","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":88.1,"elo":1611,"date":"2013-10-09","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 9, 2013 Matt Hamill W +17
Jun 8, 2013 Rafael Cavalcante W +14
Apr 14, 2012 Alexander Gustafsson L -15
Jan 2, 2010 Rashad Evans L -13
Aug 29, 2009 Keith Jardine W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.52 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.08 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
67% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.35 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
22% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
56% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.35 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
86%
6 / 7
Finish rate
KO
6
86% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
14% of wins
KO: 6 (86%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (14%) 1
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
5 83%
R2
1 17%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1595
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.1
actual +2 vs expected