HonestElo
← light heavyweight

Thiago Silva

Inactive · age 43 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 86% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 71% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2007
Elo rating
1548
Global Elo 1592 ±34
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-3-0 (2 NC)
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
+2
Δ90d -19 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Oct 9, 2013
Win by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
May 26, 2007 — W vs James Irvin Δ+34Sep 8, 2007 — W vs Tomasz Drwal Δ+30Nov 17, 2007 — W vs Houston Alexander Δ+34May 24, 2008 — W vs Antonio Mendes Δ+24Jan 31, 2009 — L vs Lyoto Machida Δ-31Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Keith Jardine Δ+17Jan 2, 2010 — L vs Rashad Evans Δ-13Jan 1, 2011 — NC vs Brandon Vera Δ0Apr 14, 2012 — L vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ-15Nov 10, 2012 — NC vs Stanislav Nedkov Δ0Jun 8, 2013 — W vs Rafael Cavalcante Δ+14Oct 9, 2013 — W vs Matt Hamill Δ+17 1450147515001525155015751600 200820092010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":366.5,"elo":1470,"date":"2007-05-26","opp":"James Irvin","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":122.5,"y":302.7,"elo":1500,"date":"2007-09-08","opp":"Tomasz Drwal","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":144.1,"y":230.6,"elo":1534,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Houston Alexander","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":202.6,"y":179.4,"elo":1558,"date":"2008-05-24","opp":"Antonio Mendes","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":280.5,"y":245.5,"elo":1527,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":345.5,"y":208.8,"elo":1544,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Keith Jardine","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":384.4,"y":236.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Rashad Evans","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":497,"y":236.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2011-01-01","opp":"Brandon Vera","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":8,"x":642.1,"y":267.5,"elo":1517,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":707,"y":267.5,"elo":1517,"date":"2012-11-10","opp":"Stanislav Nedkov","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":10,"x":772,"y":237.2,"elo":1531,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Rafael Cavalcante","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":810,"y":200.7,"elo":1548,"date":"2013-10-09","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 9, 2013 Matt Hamill W +17
Jun 8, 2013 Rafael Cavalcante W +14
Nov 10, 2012 Stanislav Nedkov NC 0
Apr 14, 2012 Alexander Gustafsson L -15
Jan 1, 2011 Brandon Vera NC 0
3 post-fight bonuses
  • Submission of the Night ×1
  • Fight of the Night ×1
  • Knockout of the Night ×1

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Thiago Silva has earned 3.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
86%
6 / 7
Finish rate
KO
6
86% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
14% of wins
KO: 6 (86%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (14%) 1
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
5 83%
R2
1 17%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 412 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
58% Distance
  • Distance 58%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 20%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1568
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Matt Hamill
Elo 1619 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.1
+1.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 12 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1505
1619
Notable wins
Matt Hamill 1619
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 39m
Avg fight time
8:16
Fights per year
1.9
Since last fight
12y 10mo
Bonuses
3
Ground control
20m
vs Compare Thiago Silva with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1670
Robert Whittaker
#3 · Elo 1633
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1622
Azamat Murzakanov
#5 · Elo 1611
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Thiago Silva on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.