HonestElo
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Matt Hamill

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1577 ±33
LCB 1533
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-5-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
Oct 9, 2013
L by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jun 24, 2006 — W vs Jesse Forbes Δ+33Oct 10, 2006 — W vs Seth Petruzelli Δ+26Mar 3, 2007 — W vs Rex Holman Δ+28Sep 8, 2007 — L vs Michael Bisping Δ-28Apr 2, 2008 — W vs Tim Boetsch Δ+31Sep 6, 2008 — L vs Rich Franklin Δ-14Dec 27, 2008 — W vs Reese Andy Δ+13Mar 7, 2009 — W vs Mark Munoz Δ+14Jun 19, 2010 — W vs Keith Jardine Δ+13Oct 23, 2010 — W vs Tito Ortiz Δ+17May 28, 2011 — L vs Quinton Jackson Δ-16Aug 6, 2011 — L vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ-21Sep 22, 2012 — W vs Roger Hollett Δ+12Oct 9, 2013 — L vs Thiago Silva Δ-17 14931538158316271672 200820102012 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":188.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2006-06-24","opp":"Jesse Forbes","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":58.5,"y":157.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2006-10-10","opp":"Seth Petruzelli","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":104.6,"y":125.1,"elo":1587,"date":"2007-03-03","opp":"Rex Holman","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":165,"y":158.7,"elo":1558,"date":"2007-09-08","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":231.2,"y":122.3,"elo":1589,"date":"2008-04-02","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":281.5,"y":138.4,"elo":1576,"date":"2008-09-06","opp":"Rich Franklin","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":317.3,"y":122.7,"elo":1589,"date":"2008-12-27","opp":"Reese Andy","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":339.7,"y":106.3,"elo":1603,"date":"2009-03-07","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":489.7,"y":91,"elo":1616,"date":"2010-06-19","opp":"Keith Jardine","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":9,"x":530,"y":71.4,"elo":1632,"date":"2010-10-23","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":599.4,"y":90.3,"elo":1616,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Quinton Jackson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":621.7,"y":115.1,"elo":1595,"date":"2011-08-06","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":753.8,"y":101.1,"elo":1607,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"Roger Hollett","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":120.8,"elo":1590,"date":"2013-10-09","opp":"Thiago Silva","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 9, 2013 Thiago Silva L -17
Sep 22, 2012 Roger Hollett W +12
Aug 6, 2011 Alexander Gustafsson L -21
May 28, 2011 Quinton Jackson L -16
Oct 23, 2010 Tito Ortiz W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.43 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.30 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.82 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
34% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
5
56% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 5 (56%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
2 40%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1585
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.6
actual +1 vs expected