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Fabricio Werdum "Vai Cavalo"

Inactive · age 48 · Orthodox · 6'4" 193 cm · 231 lb 105 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 67% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1567
Global Elo 1617 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-6-0
KO 4 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
+1
Δ90d -21 · Δ1y -21
Last fight
Jul 25, 2020
Win by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 13m
Avg fight time
10:45
Title fights
2-1
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.4
Since last fight
5y 11mo

Honest Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Apr 21, 2007 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-21Jan 19, 2008 — W vs Gabriel Gonzaga Δ+43Jun 7, 2008 — W vs Brandon Vera Δ+40Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Junior Dos Santos Δ-39Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Roy Nelson Δ+32Jun 23, 2012 — W vs Mike Russow Δ+22Jun 8, 2013 — W vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Δ+18Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Travis Browne Δ+19Nov 15, 2014 — W vs Mark Hunt Δ+23Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Cain Velasquez Δ+29May 14, 2016 — L vs Stipe Miocic Δ-24Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Travis Browne Δ+16Jul 8, 2017 — L vs Alistair Overeem Δ-19Oct 7, 2017 — W vs Walt Harris Δ+10Nov 18, 2017 — W vs Marcin Tybura Δ+13Mar 17, 2018 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-22May 9, 2020 — L vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ-18Jul 25, 2020 — W vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ+18 1350140014501500155016001650 2010201320162019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":347.4,"elo":1409,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":130.6,"y":302.1,"elo":1451,"date":"2008-01-19","opp":"Gabriel Gonzaga","result":"W","delta":43},{"i":2,"x":151.4,"y":259.7,"elo":1491,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Brandon Vera","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":3,"x":172.2,"y":301.3,"elo":1452,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":350.1,"y":267.3,"elo":1484,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":370.9,"y":244.2,"elo":1505,"date":"2012-06-23","opp":"Mike Russow","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":6,"x":422.9,"y":224.8,"elo":1524,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":469.8,"y":205.1,"elo":1542,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":501,"y":180.8,"elo":1565,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Mark Hunt","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":9,"x":532.2,"y":149.6,"elo":1594,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Cain Velasquez","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":10,"x":582.1,"y":175.4,"elo":1570,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Stipe Miocic","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":11,"x":599.8,"y":158.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":644.6,"y":179.4,"elo":1566,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Alistair Overeem","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":13,"x":658.1,"y":168.4,"elo":1577,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":14,"x":664.3,"y":154.9,"elo":1589,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":15,"x":682,"y":177.9,"elo":1568,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":16,"x":798.6,"y":197.4,"elo":1549,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":17,"x":810,"y":178.1,"elo":1567,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 25, 2020 Alexander Gustafsson W +18
May 9, 2020 Aleksei Oleinik L -18
Mar 17, 2018 Alexander Volkov L -22
Nov 18, 2017 Marcin Tybura W +13
Oct 7, 2017 Walt Harris W +10

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
8 / 12
Finish rate
KO
4
33% of wins
SUB
4
33% of wins
DEC
4
33% of wins
KO: 4 (33%) 4 Sub: 4 (33%) 4 Dec: 4 (33%) 4
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 890 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
3 of 6 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 3 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1569
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Cain Velasquez
Elo 1731 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.0
+3.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 18 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1599
1614
Notable wins
Cain Velasquez 1731 Travis Browne ×2 1649 Mike Russow 1615 Alexander Gustafsson 1614 Mark Hunt 1609

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Ciryl Gane IC
#1 · Elo 1691
Alexander Volkov
#2 · Elo 1656
Alex Pereira
#3 · Elo 1655
Tom Aspinall C
#4 · Elo 1654
Sergei Pavlovich
#5 · Elo 1619
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Fabricio Werdum on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.