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Fabricio Werdum

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1617 ±39
LCB 1567
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-6-0
KO 4 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
+1
Δ90d -21 · Δ1y -21
Last fight
Jul 25, 2020
W by Submission

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Apr 21, 2007 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-21Jan 19, 2008 — W vs Gabriel Gonzaga Δ+43Jun 7, 2008 — W vs Brandon Vera Δ+40Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Junior Dos Santos Δ-39Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Roy Nelson Δ+32Jun 23, 2012 — W vs Mike Russow Δ+22Jun 8, 2013 — W vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Δ+18Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Travis Browne Δ+19Nov 15, 2014 — W vs Mark Hunt Δ+23Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Cain Velasquez Δ+29May 14, 2016 — L vs Stipe Miocic Δ-24Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Travis Browne Δ+16Jul 8, 2017 — L vs Alistair Overeem Δ-19Oct 7, 2017 — W vs Walt Harris Δ+10Nov 18, 2017 — W vs Marcin Tybura Δ+13Mar 17, 2018 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-22May 9, 2020 — L vs Aleksei Oleinik Δ-18Jul 25, 2020 — W vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ+18 14391506157216381705 2010201320162019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204,"elo":1479,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":72,"y":170.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2008-01-19","opp":"Gabriel Gonzaga","result":"W","delta":43},{"i":2,"x":96.6,"y":138.5,"elo":1561,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Brandon Vera","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":3,"x":121.3,"y":169.5,"elo":1522,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":331.8,"y":144.1,"elo":1554,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":356.4,"y":126.8,"elo":1576,"date":"2012-06-23","opp":"Mike Russow","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":6,"x":418,"y":112.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":473.4,"y":97.5,"elo":1613,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":510.3,"y":79.3,"elo":1635,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Mark Hunt","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":9,"x":547.3,"y":56,"elo":1665,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Cain Velasquez","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":10,"x":606.4,"y":75.3,"elo":1640,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Stipe Miocic","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":11,"x":627.3,"y":62.9,"elo":1656,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":680.2,"y":78.2,"elo":1637,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Alistair Overeem","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":13,"x":696.2,"y":70,"elo":1647,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":14,"x":703.6,"y":59.9,"elo":1660,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":15,"x":724.6,"y":77.1,"elo":1638,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":16,"x":862.5,"y":91.7,"elo":1620,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Aleksei Oleinik","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":77.3,"elo":1638,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 25, 2020 Alexander Gustafsson W +18
May 9, 2020 Aleksei Oleinik L -18
Mar 17, 2018 Alexander Volkov L -22
Nov 18, 2017 Marcin Tybura W +13
Oct 7, 2017 Walt Harris W +10

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.05 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.85 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.09 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
27% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.41 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
8 / 12
Finish rate
KO
4
33% of wins
SUB
4
33% of wins
DEC
4
33% of wins
KO: 4 (33%) 4 Sub: 4 (33%) 4 Dec: 4 (33%) 4
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1569
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.0
actual +3 vs expected