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bantamweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China
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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Nurmagomedov

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Yadong

7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

8-1-0 UFC record 12-4-1
KO 1 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 2
+2 Streak +1
30 Age 28
5'8" 173 cm Height 5'8" 173 cm
69" 175 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1682 Global Elo 1673
1649 Elo rating 1625
Umar Nurmagomedov — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Song Yadong — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 58% of wins by KO or submission
  • 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2017

Umar Nurmagomedov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 489 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 27%

Song Yadong — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 958 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.86
4.34
div avg 4.32
56%
44%
div avg 50%
1.86
3.81
div avg 3.34
61%
55%
div avg 58%
4.03
0.81
div avg 1.78
47%
41%
div avg 37%
79%
74%
div avg 70%
0.24
0.20
div avg 0.40
6
2
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Umar Nurmagomedov
38% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Song Yadong
finished 25%
1 of 4 losses
Song Yadong
58% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 2
can finish?
Umar Nurmagomedov
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1637 (Umar Nurmagomedov) vs 1644 (Song Yadong).

Umar Nurmagomedov red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1637
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
4
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cory Sandhagen
Elo 1690 at fight time
Expected wins
4.5
+3.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1500
1673
Song Yadong blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1644
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
5
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Henry Cejudo
Elo 1666 at fight time
Expected wins
9.2
+2.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1500
1656

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Submission · R2
    Jan 24, 2026
    May 30, 2026
  • W
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R4
    Aug 3, 2024
    Sep 17, 2022
Corner A recent form
Umar Nurmagomedov
Corner B recent form
Song Yadong
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Umar Nurmagomedov & Song Yadong on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.