Other bouts 11
- 2flyweightAlex PerezvsSumudaerji
- 3women's strawweightYan XiaonanvsDenise Gomes
- 4bantamweightAoriqilengvsKai Asakura
- 5featherweightJack JenkinsvsSean Woodson
- 6flyweightRei TsuruyavsKevin Borjas
- 7Not linkedflyweightNamsrai BatbayarvsAndre Lima
- 8women's strawweightXiong JingnanvsJulia Polastri
- 10Not linkedflyweightBilal HasanvsNilson Rojas
- 11Not linkedlight heavyweightLiu CevsJunior Tafa
- 12Not linkedwelterweightDing MengvsCam Nelson
- 13Not linkedbantamweightLawrence LuivsHector Santiago
The result may differ from Pure Elo because in Honest Elo mode the opening market line carries information the pure-Elo model can't see — camp news, weight cuts, recent form. Not betting advice.
See methodologyHonest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
Share your result
Pick how you'd like to share. Copy image works in most chat / social apps — copy here, then paste into the post directly. Download saves a PNG you can attach manually.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Notable
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Tale of the tape
| 8-1-0 | UFC record | 12-4-1 |
| KO 1 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 2 |
| +2 | Streak | +1 |
| 30 | Age | 28 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'8" 173 cm |
| 69" 175 cm | Reach | 67" 170 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1682 | Global Elo | 1673 |
| 1649 | Elo rating | 1625 |
Umar Nurmagomedov — Notable ▼
- Has never been finished — durability signal
Song Yadong — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 58% of wins by KO or submission
- 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- UFC veteran since 2017
Umar Nurmagomedov — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 489 landed total · career
- Head 68%
- Body 20%
- Leg 11%
- Distance 67%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 27%
Song Yadong — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 958 landed total · career
- Head 61%
- Body 19%
- Leg 20%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 8%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Sean O'Malley5.97
- 3Adrian Yanez5.92
- 4Payton Talbott5.87
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.1.34
- 2Montel Jackson1.37
- 3Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 4Jafel Filho1.52
- 5Rinya Nakamura1.52
- 1Suyoung You70%
- 2David Martinez70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Felipe Lima65%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.6.76
- 2Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Dan Argueta4.36
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Rinya Nakamura88%
- 2Elijah Smith75%
- 3Santiago Luna71%
- 4Montel Jackson61%
- 5Benardo Sopaj60%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Marcus Mcghee90%
- 5Xiao Long88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.8.53
- 2Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 3Rinya Nakamura7.81
- 4Rafael Estevam7.79
- 5Dan Argueta6.10
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1637 (Umar Nurmagomedov) vs 1644 (Song Yadong).
Common opponents
2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jan 24, 2026
- Oct 25, 2025
- Jan 18, 2025
- Aug 3, 2024
- Mar 2, 2024
- May 30, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026
- Feb 22, 2025
- Mar 9, 2024
- Dec 9, 2023