Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 2women's strawweightYan XiaonanvsDenise Gomes
- 3bantamweightAoriqilengvsKai Asakura
- 4flyweightAlex PerezvsSumudaerji
- 5Not linkedlight heavyweightLiu CevsLevi Rodrigues Jr.
- 6Not linkedflyweightBilal HasanvsNilson Rojas
- 7Not linkedflyweightNamsrai BatbayarvsAndre Lima
- 8flyweightRei TsuruyavsKevin Borjas
- 9Not linkedbantamweightXiao LongvsFrancesco Nuzzi
- 10featherweightJack JenkinsvsSean Woodson
- 11Not linkedbantamweightLawrence LuivsHector Santiago
- 12women's strawweightXiong JingnanvsJulia Polastri
- 13Not linkedwelterweightDing MengvsCam Nelson
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Umar Nurmagomedov 77.9% · Song Yadong 22.1%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Umar Nurmagomedov 51.3% · Song Yadong 48.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Notable
8 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Tale of the tape
| 8-2-0 | UFC record | 13-4-1 |
| KO 1 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 6 · Sub 2 |
| -1 | Streak | +2 |
| 30 | Age | 28 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'8" 173 cm |
| 69" 175 cm | Reach | 67" 170 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1664 | Global Elo | 1692 |
| 1620 | Elo rating | 1643 |
Umar Nurmagomedov — Notable ▼
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- Career-best 6-fight win streak
Song Yadong — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 62% of wins by KO or submission
- UFC veteran since 2017
Umar Nurmagomedov — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 502 landed total · career
- Head 68%
- Body 20%
- Leg 12%
- Distance 68%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 26%
Song Yadong — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 969 landed total · career
- Head 61%
- Body 19%
- Leg 20%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 8%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Xiao Long88%
- 5Caolan Loughran88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 2Rafael Estevam7.79
- 3Rinya Nakamura6.94
- 4Raul Rosas Jr.6.68
- 5Brady Hiestand6.54
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1672 (Umar Nurmagomedov) vs 1657 (Song Yadong).
Common opponents
2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Aug 29, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026
- Oct 25, 2025
- Jan 18, 2025
- Aug 3, 2024
- Aug 29, 2026
- May 30, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026
- Feb 22, 2025
- Mar 9, 2024