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✓ Kai Asakura won · by TKO · R2

Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura — Honest Elo matchup

bantamweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China
View full event card
Corner A
Aoriqileng
#62 4-6-0
Elo 1413
VS
Corner B
Kai Asakura
#48 2-2-0
Elo 1469
Final result · recorded Aug 29, 2026
Kai Asakura
defeated Aoriqileng by TKO in round 2

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Aoriqileng 25.5% · Kai Asakura 74.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Aoriqileng 49.2% · Kai Asakura 50.8%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 6
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong Main event · bantamweight Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes women's strawweight Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji flyweight Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson featherweight Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri women's strawweight

Tale of the tape

4-6-0 UFC record 2-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
-2 Streak +2
— Age 32
— Height 5'8" 173 cm
— Reach 69" 175 cm
— Stance Orthodox
1460 Global Elo 1517
1413 Elo rating 1469
Aoriqileng — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Kai Asakura — Notable ▼
At a glance

Aoriqileng — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 431 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 11%

Kai Asakura — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 74 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 1%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.29
3.07
div avg 4.16
50%
40%
div avg 50%
5.62
3.15
div avg 3.34
47%
52%
div avg 58%
1.05
0.00
div avg 1.99
47%
0%
div avg 39%
60%
50%
div avg 67%
0.15
0.00
div avg 0.45
2
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Aoriqileng
50% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kai Asakura
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Kai Asakura
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Aoriqileng
finished 50%
3 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1513 (Aoriqileng) vs 1536 (Kai Asakura).

Aoriqileng red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1513
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Johnny Munoz
Elo 1475 at fight time
Expected wins
4.8
−0.8 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1500
1484
Kai Asakura blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1536
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Aoriqileng
Elo 1478 at fight time
Expected wins
1.7
+0.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1684
1478
Corner A recent form
Aoriqileng
Corner B recent form
Kai Asakura
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Aoriqileng & Kai Asakura on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.