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bantamweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China
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Corner A
Aoriqileng
#59 4-5-0
Elo 1433
VS
Corner B
Kai Asakura
#55 1-2-0
Elo 1438

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Aoriqileng 50.0%
Corner B Kai Asakura 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 6
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong Main event · bantamweight Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji flyweight Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes women's strawweight Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson featherweight Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri women's strawweight

Tale of the tape

4-5-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +1
— Age 32
— Height 5'8" 173 cm
— Reach 69" 175 cm
— Stance Orthodox
1478 Global Elo 1484
1433 Elo rating 1438
Aoriqileng — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Kai Asakura — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1

Aoriqileng — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 417 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 11%

Kai Asakura — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 47 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
98% Distance
  • Distance 98%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 2%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.40
2.53
div avg 4.32
50%
34%
div avg 50%
5.66
3.34
div avg 3.34
47%
52%
div avg 58%
1.11
0.00
div avg 1.78
47%
—
div avg 37%
60%
50%
div avg 70%
0.16
0.00
div avg 0.40
2
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Aoriqileng
50% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kai Asakura
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Kai Asakura
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Aoriqileng
finished 40%
2 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Kai Asakura has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1556 vs 1512, 0 quality wins to 0.

Aoriqileng red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1512
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Johnny Munoz
Elo 1475 at fight time
Expected wins
4.3
−0.3 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1500
1526
Kai Asakura blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1556
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cameron Smotherman
Elo 1476 at fight time
Expected wins
1.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1684
1476
Corner A recent form
Aoriqileng
Corner B recent form
Kai Asakura
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Aoriqileng & Kai Asakura on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.