Other bouts 11
- 1bantamweight MainUmar NurmagomedovvsSong Yadong
- 2flyweightAlex PerezvsSumudaerji
- 3women's strawweightYan XiaonanvsDenise Gomes
- 4bantamweightAoriqilengvsKai Asakura
- 5featherweightJack JenkinsvsSean Woodson
- 7Not linkedflyweightNamsrai BatbayarvsAndre Lima
- 8women's strawweightXiong JingnanvsJulia Polastri
- 10Not linkedflyweightBilal HasanvsNilson Rojas
- 11Not linkedlight heavyweightLiu CevsJunior Tafa
- 12Not linkedwelterweightDing MengvsCam Nelson
- 13Not linkedbantamweightLawrence LuivsHector Santiago
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 6
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Tsuruya +50 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.
Tale of the tape
| 2-1-0 | UFC record | 2-4-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | +1 |
| 24 | Age | 28 |
| 5'6" 168 cm | Height | 5'5" 165 cm |
| 68" 173 cm | Reach | 68" 173 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1532 | Global Elo | 1447 |
| 1486 | Elo rating | 1389 |
Rei Tsuruya — Notable ▼
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- 50% of wins by submission
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
Kevin Borjas — Notable ▼
- 90% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Rei Tsuruya — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 66 landed total · career
- Head 91%
- Body 6%
- Leg 3%
- Distance 56%
- Clinch 3%
- Ground 41%
Kevin Borjas — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 265 landed total · career
- Head 73%
- Body 17%
- Leg 10%
- Distance 93%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 1%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Sean O'Malley5.97
- 3Adrian Yanez5.92
- 4Payton Talbott5.87
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.1.34
- 2Montel Jackson1.37
- 3Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 4Jafel Filho1.52
- 5Rinya Nakamura1.52
- 1Suyoung You70%
- 2David Martinez70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Felipe Lima65%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.6.76
- 2Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Dan Argueta4.36
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Rinya Nakamura88%
- 2Elijah Smith75%
- 3Santiago Luna71%
- 4Montel Jackson61%
- 5Benardo Sopaj60%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Marcus Mcghee90%
- 5Xiao Long88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.8.53
- 2Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 3Rinya Nakamura7.81
- 4Rafael Estevam7.79
- 5Dan Argueta6.10
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1508 (Rei Tsuruya) vs 1528 (Kevin Borjas).
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- May 30, 2026
- Mar 8, 2025
- Jun 29, 2024
- Jun 20, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- Aug 23, 2025
- Mar 29, 2025
- May 4, 2024