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women's strawweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China
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Corner A
Yan Xiaonan
#7 9-4-0
Elo 1557
VS
Corner B
Denise Gomes
#10 6-2-0
Elo 1543

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Yan Xiaonan 50.0%
Corner B Denise Gomes 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 6
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong Main event · bantamweight Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji flyweight Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura bantamweight Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson featherweight Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas flyweight Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri women's strawweight

Notable

Gomes

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

9-4-0 UFC record 6-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +4
37 Age 26
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'2" 158 cm
63" 160 cm Reach 63" 160 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1605 Global Elo 1588
1557 Elo rating 1543
Yan Xiaonan — Notable ▼
At a glance
Denise Gomes — Notable ▼
At a glance

Yan Xiaonan — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 916 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 6%

Denise Gomes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 356 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
60% Distance
  • Distance 60%
  • Clinch 26%
  • Ground 14%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.69
4.02
div avg 4.34
45%
51%
div avg 48%
3.23
3.07
div avg 3.78
60%
46%
div avg 54%
0.84
1.69
div avg 1.99
73%
34%
div avg 47%
65%
66%
div avg 66%
0.00
0.85
div avg 0.56
1
5
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Yan Xiaonan
11% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Denise Gomes
finished 0%
never finished
Denise Gomes
50% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Yan Xiaonan
finished 25%
1 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Yan Xiaonan has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1621 vs 1521, 3 quality wins to 0.

Yan Xiaonan red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1621
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jessica Andrade
Elo 1615 at fight time
Expected wins
7.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1406
1603
Notable wins
Jessica Andrade 1615 Mackenzie Dern 1607 Tabatha Ricci 1600
Denise Gomes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1521
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tecia Pennington
Elo 1580 at fight time
Expected wins
4.0
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1514
1580

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Karolina Kowalkiewicz
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Feb 22, 2020
    Nov 9, 2024
  • W
    Angela Hill
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jun 8, 2019
    Nov 4, 2023
Corner A recent form
Yan Xiaonan
Corner B recent form
Denise Gomes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Yan Xiaonan & Denise Gomes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.