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women's strawweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Aug 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China
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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Jingnan

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Polastri

Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.

Form

Both enter off a loss (May 2026 / Apr 2026).

Jingnan

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

0-1-0 UFC record 2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -1
Age 28
Height 5'2" 158 cm
Reach 63" 160 cm
Stance Orthodox
1508 Global Elo 1492
1482 Elo rating 1440
Xiong Jingnan — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Julia Polastri — Notable
At a glance

Xiong Jingnan — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 68 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 0%

Julia Polastri — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 454 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 6%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.53
6.22
div avg 4.34
34%
58%
div avg 48%
8.13
5.21
div avg 3.78
38%
58%
div avg 54%
0.00
0.62
div avg 1.99
75%
div avg 47%
75%
62%
div avg 66%
0.00
0.21
div avg 0.56
0
2
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Xiong Jingnan
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Julia Polastri
finished 0%
never finished
Julia Polastri
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Xiong Jingnan
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Julia Polastri has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1535 vs 1498, 0 quality wins to 0.

Xiong Jingnan red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1498
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
0.5
−0.5 below schedule
Julia Polastri blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1535
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cory McKenna
Elo 1518 at fight time
Expected wins
2.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1529
1563
Corner A recent form
Xiong Jingnan
Corner B recent form
Julia Polastri
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Xiong Jingnan & Julia Polastri on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.