Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1bantamweight MainUmar NurmagomedovvsSong Yadong
- 2women's strawweightYan XiaonanvsDenise Gomes
- 3bantamweightAoriqilengvsKai Asakura
- 4flyweightAlex PerezvsSumudaerji
- 5Not linkedlight heavyweightLiu CevsLevi Rodrigues Jr.
- 6Not linkedflyweightBilal HasanvsNilson Rojas
- 7Not linkedflyweightNamsrai BatbayarvsAndre Lima
- 8flyweightRei TsuruyavsKevin Borjas
- 9Not linkedbantamweightXiao LongvsFrancesco Nuzzi
- 10featherweightJack JenkinsvsSean Woodson
- 11Not linkedbantamweightLawrence LuivsHector Santiago
- 13Not linkedwelterweightDing MengvsCam Nelson
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Xiong Jingnan 30.3% · Julia Polastri 69.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Xiong Jingnan 52.2% · Julia Polastri 47.8%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Notable
Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 0-2-0 | UFC record | 3-3-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| -2 | Streak | +1 |
| — | Age | 28 |
| — | Height | 5'2" 158 cm |
| — | Reach | 63" 160 cm |
| — | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1468 | Global Elo | 1509 |
| 1442 | Elo rating | 1459 |
Xiong Jingnan — Notable ▼
Julia Polastri — Notable ▼
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- Top 5 · women's strawweightStriking Accuracy
- 1Tatiana Suarez60%
- 2Julia Polastri58%
- 3Loma Lookboonmee56%
- 4Amanda Lemos55%
- 5Bruna Brasil55%
- Top 5 · women's strawweightTakedown Accuracy
- 1Josefine Knutsson75%
- 2Julia Polastri75%
- 3Yan Xiaonan73%
- 4Fatima Kline67%
- 5Stephanie Luciano63%
- 67% of wins by KO/TKO
Xiong Jingnan — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 84 landed total · career
- Head 48%
- Body 31%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 83%
- Clinch 17%
- Ground 0%
Julia Polastri — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 470 landed total · career
- Head 59%
- Body 27%
- Leg 14%
- Distance 81%
- Clinch 13%
- Ground 5%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Yazmin Jauregui7.26
- 2Alice Ardelean7.00
- 3Jessica Andrade6.37
- 4Julia Polastri6.18
- 5Karolina Kowalkiewicz5.54
- 1Tatiana Suarez60%
- 2Julia Polastri58%
- 3Loma Lookboonmee56%
- 4Amanda Lemos55%
- 5Bruna Brasil55%
- 1Tatiana Suarez1.63
- 2Jaqueline Amorim2.06
- 3Josefine Knutsson2.40
- 4Loma Lookboonmee2.45
- 5Fatima Kline2.46
- 1Stephanie Luciano64%
- 2Molly McCann63%
- 3Iasmin Lucindo62%
- 4Loopy Godinez62%
- 5Fatima Kline62%
- 1Tatiana Suarez4.52
- 2Alexia Thainara4.24
- 3Piera Rodriguez4.21
- 4Fatima Kline3.13
- 5Virna Jandiroba3.13
- 1Josefine Knutsson75%
- 2Julia Polastri75%
- 3Yan Xiaonan73%
- 4Fatima Kline67%
- 5Stephanie Luciano63%
- 1Alexia Thainara100%
- 2Talita Alencar100%
- 3Yazmin Jauregui100%
- 4Nicolle Caliari100%
- 5Alice Ardelean86%
- 1Jaqueline Amorim4.27
- 2Alexia Thainara1.51
- 3Polyana Viana1.51
- 4Virna Jandiroba1.39
- 5Mackenzie Dern1.01
- 1Alexia Thainara9.30
- 2Tatiana Suarez8.94
- 3Gillian Robertson7.09
- 4Jaqueline Amorim6.57
- 5Virna Jandiroba6.50
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Julia Polastri has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1523 vs 1495, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Aug 29, 2026
- May 30, 2026
- Aug 29, 2026
- Apr 25, 2026
- Oct 11, 2025
- Mar 29, 2025
- Oct 12, 2024