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Nate Maness

Active #18 flyweight · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1549 ±33
LCB 1506
Rank
#18
top 33% of division
UFC record
5-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Jun 15, 2024
W by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Aug 1, 2020 — W vs Johnny Munoz Δ+29Nov 28, 2020 — W vs Luke Sanders Δ+30Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Tony Gravely Δ+30Jun 25, 2022 — L vs Umar Nurmagomedov Δ-30Nov 5, 2022 — L vs Tagir Ulanbekov Δ-37Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Mateus Mendonca Δ+16Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Jimmy Flick Δ+14 14821519155615931630 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":168.7,"elo":1529,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Johnny Munoz","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":95.7,"y":125.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Luke Sanders","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":272.9,"y":81.5,"elo":1590,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Tony Gravely","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":441.6,"y":125.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Umar Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":521.7,"y":178.5,"elo":1522,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Tagir Ulanbekov","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":724.2,"y":155.7,"elo":1538,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Mateus Mendonca","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":135.4,"elo":1552,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Jimmy Flick","result":"W","delta":14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 15, 2024 Jimmy Flick W +14
Oct 7, 2023 Mateus Mendonca W +16
Nov 5, 2022 Tagir Ulanbekov L -37
Jun 25, 2022 Umar Nurmagomedov L -30
Sep 18, 2021 Tony Gravely W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.79 avg 3.41
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.44 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
43% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.58
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
75% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
80% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1518
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.8
actual +1 vs expected