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Timothy Johnson

Inactive · age 41 · Southpaw · 6'3" 191 cm · 265 lb 120 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2015
Elo rating
1488
Global Elo 1538 ±38
Rank
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Feb 3, 2018
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 23m
Avg fight time
11:50
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.5
Ground control
34m
Since last fight
8y 5mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Apr 4, 2015 — W vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Δ+33Aug 8, 2015 — L vs Jared Rosholt Δ-25Apr 10, 2016 — W vs Marcin Tybura Δ+28Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-32Mar 18, 2017 — W vs Daniel Omielanczuk Δ+32Jul 22, 2017 — L vs Junior Albini Δ-20Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Marcelo Golm Δ+17 14401460148015001520 201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":213.2,"elo":1489,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Shamil Abdurakhimov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":177.6,"y":314.4,"elo":1464,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Jared Rosholt","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":348.5,"y":201.6,"elo":1492,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":503.5,"y":328.8,"elo":1460,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":586.2,"y":202.8,"elo":1492,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Daniel Omielanczuk","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":673.8,"y":284,"elo":1472,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Junior Albini","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":217.2,"elo":1488,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Marcelo Golm","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 3, 2018 Marcelo Golm W +17
Jul 22, 2017 Junior Albini L -20
Mar 18, 2017 Daniel Omielanczuk W +32
Nov 19, 2016 Alexander Volkov L -32
Apr 10, 2016 Marcin Tybura W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 284 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
47% Clinch
  • Distance 39%
  • Clinch 47%
  • Ground 14%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1513
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Daniel Omielanczuk
Elo 1537 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.5
+0.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1530

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Timothy Johnson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.