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Timothy Johnson

Inactive · Southpaw · 191 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1537 ±40
LCB 1485
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Feb 3, 2018
W by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Apr 4, 2015 — W vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Δ+33Aug 8, 2015 — L vs Jared Rosholt Δ-25Apr 10, 2016 — W vs Marcin Tybura Δ+28Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Alexander Volkov Δ-32Mar 18, 2017 — W vs Daniel Omielanczuk Δ+32Jul 22, 2017 — L vs Junior Albini Δ-20Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Marcelo Golm Δ+17 14641492152015481576 201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":105.3,"elo":1533,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Shamil Abdurakhimov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":127.6,"y":153.3,"elo":1508,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Jared Rosholt","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":329.9,"y":99.8,"elo":1536,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Marcin Tybura","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":513.3,"y":160.2,"elo":1504,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Alexander Volkov","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":611.2,"y":100.4,"elo":1536,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Daniel Omielanczuk","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":714.8,"y":138.9,"elo":1515,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Junior Albini","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":107.2,"elo":1532,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Marcelo Golm","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 3, 2018 Marcelo Golm W +17
Jul 22, 2017 Junior Albini L -20
Mar 18, 2017 Daniel Omielanczuk W +32
Nov 19, 2016 Alexander Volkov L -32
Apr 10, 2016 Marcin Tybura W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.34 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.00 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
44% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.06 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
24% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1513
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.5
actual +1 vs expected