HonestElo
← lightweight

Yanal Ashmouz

Active #77 lightweight
Elo rating
1504 ±40
LCB 1451
Rank
#77
top 76% of division
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -29
Last fight
Jun 7, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Sam Patterson Δ+33Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Chris Duncan Δ-29Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Trevor Peek Δ+28Jun 7, 2025 — L vs Quillan Salkilld Δ-29 14641491151815461573 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":101.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Sam Patterson","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":156.2,"y":157.7,"elo":1504,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Chris Duncan","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":589.6,"y":103.1,"elo":1532,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Trevor Peek","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":158.6,"elo":1504,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Quillan Salkilld","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 7, 2025 Quillan Salkilld L -29
Sep 7, 2024 Trevor Peek W +28
Jul 22, 2023 Chris Duncan L -29
Mar 18, 2023 Sam Patterson W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.66 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.42 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.00 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1515
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual 0 vs expected