HonestElo
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Carlos Newton

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm
Elo rating
1503 ±51
LCB 1437
Rank
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +20 · Δ1y +20
Last fight
Jan 31, 2004
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
May 15, 1998 — W vs Bob Gilstrap Δ+33May 15, 1998 — L vs Dan Henderson Δ-39May 4, 2001 — W vs Pat Miletich Δ+61Nov 2, 2001 — L vs Matt Hughes Δ-46Jul 13, 2002 — L vs Matt Hughes Δ-31Nov 22, 2002 — W vs Pete Spratt Δ+21Jan 31, 2004 — L vs Renato Verissimo Δ-16 14371477151615561595 199920002001200220032004 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":107.2,"elo":1533,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Bob Gilstrap","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":24,"y":160.2,"elo":1494,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Dan Henderson","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":2,"x":466.9,"y":77.8,"elo":1555,"date":"2001-05-04","opp":"Pat Miletich","result":"W","delta":61},{"i":3,"x":541.2,"y":140,"elo":1509,"date":"2001-11-02","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"L","delta":-46},{"i":4,"x":644.5,"y":182.2,"elo":1477,"date":"2002-07-13","opp":"Matt Hughes","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":698.4,"y":153.4,"elo":1499,"date":"2002-11-22","opp":"Pete Spratt","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":174.9,"elo":1483,"date":"2004-01-31","opp":"Renato Verissimo","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 31, 2004 Renato Verissimo L -16
Nov 22, 2002 Pete Spratt W +21
Jul 13, 2002 Matt Hughes L -31
Nov 2, 2001 Matt Hughes L -46
May 4, 2001 Pat Miletich W +61

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
0.55 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.81 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
42% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.88 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
59% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
18% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.50 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (100%) 3 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1564
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.2
actual 0 vs expected