HonestElo
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Jonathan Goulet

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1500 ±33
LCB 1457
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +21
Last fight
May 8, 2010
L by KO

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Oct 3, 2005 — W vs Jay Hieron Δ+26Jan 16, 2006 — L vs Duane Ludwig Δ-33Jun 28, 2006 — W vs Luke Cummo Δ+29Aug 17, 2006 — L vs Josh Koscheck Δ-28Sep 19, 2007 — L vs Dustin Hazelett Δ-29Dec 8, 2007 — W vs Paul Georgieff Δ+20Apr 19, 2008 — W vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka Δ+18Dec 10, 2008 — L vs Mike Swick Δ-11May 8, 2010 — L vs Marcus Davis Δ-13 14261461149615311566 20062007200820092010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":84.2,"elo":1526,"date":"2005-10-03","opp":"Jay Hieron","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":77.3,"y":133.3,"elo":1494,"date":"2006-01-16","opp":"Duane Ludwig","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":160.1,"y":89.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2006-06-28","opp":"Luke Cummo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":185.5,"y":131.5,"elo":1495,"date":"2006-08-17","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":387.5,"y":175.8,"elo":1466,"date":"2007-09-19","opp":"Dustin Hazelett","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":428.2,"y":145.4,"elo":1486,"date":"2007-12-08","opp":"Paul Georgieff","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":495.7,"y":118.3,"elo":1504,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Kuniyoshi Hironaka","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":615,"y":134.7,"elo":1493,"date":"2008-12-10","opp":"Mike Swick","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":154.2,"elo":1480,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Marcus Davis","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 8, 2010 Marcus Davis L -13
Dec 10, 2008 Mike Swick L -11
Apr 19, 2008 Kuniyoshi Hironaka W +18
Dec 8, 2007 Paul Georgieff W +20
Sep 19, 2007 Dustin Hazelett L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.08 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.35 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.80 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
70% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
45% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.40 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1553
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.0
actual 0 vs expected