HonestElo
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Cristiano Marcello

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1470 ±38
LCB 1421
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Feb 15, 2014
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jun 1, 2012 — L vs Sam Sicilia Δ-33Oct 13, 2012 — W vs Reza Madadi Δ+34Mar 2, 2013 — L vs Kazuki Tokudome Δ-29Feb 15, 2014 — L vs Joe Proctor Δ-26 14061440147415071541 20132014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":140.4,"elo":1467,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Sam Sicilia","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":207,"y":86.8,"elo":1501,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Reza Madadi","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":398.1,"y":132.1,"elo":1472,"date":"2013-03-02","opp":"Kazuki Tokudome","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":173.2,"elo":1446,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Joe Proctor","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 15, 2014 Joe Proctor L -26
Mar 2, 2013 Kazuki Tokudome L -29
Oct 13, 2012 Reza Madadi W +34
Jun 1, 2012 Sam Sicilia L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.09 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
34% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.82 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.55 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
12% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
17% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.27 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1509
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected