HonestElo
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Sam Sicilia

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1479 ±36
LCB 1432
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Feb 19, 2017
L by Decision

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Jun 1, 2012 — W vs Cristiano Marcello Δ+33Oct 13, 2012 — L vs Rony Jason Δ-33Apr 13, 2013 — L vs Maximo Blanco Δ-31Nov 9, 2013 — W vs Godofredo Pepey Δ+33Jan 15, 2014 — L vs Cole Miller Δ-28May 24, 2014 — W vs Aaron Phillips Δ+17Sep 20, 2014 — L vs Katsunori Kikuno Δ-18Jan 24, 2015 — W vs Akira Corassani Δ+20Jul 15, 2015 — W vs Yaotzin Meza Δ+16Nov 28, 2015 — L vs Dooho Choi Δ-17Sep 17, 2016 — L vs Gabriel Benitez Δ-17Feb 19, 2017 — L vs Gavin Tucker Δ-15 14211459149715351573 20132014201520162017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":79.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Cristiano Marcello","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":90.2,"y":125.1,"elo":1500,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Rony Jason","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":180.2,"y":168.2,"elo":1469,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Maximo Blanco","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":283.9,"y":123.1,"elo":1502,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Godofredo Pepey","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":317.1,"y":161.4,"elo":1474,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":380.8,"y":137.5,"elo":1491,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Aaron Phillips","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":439.6,"y":162.5,"elo":1473,"date":"2014-09-20","opp":"Katsunori Kikuno","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":501.9,"y":135,"elo":1493,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Akira Corassani","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":586.9,"y":112.1,"elo":1510,"date":"2015-07-15","opp":"Yaotzin Meza","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":654.1,"y":136.1,"elo":1492,"date":"2015-11-28","opp":"Dooho Choi","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":799.4,"y":159.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Gabriel Benitez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":180.4,"elo":1461,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Gavin Tucker","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 19, 2017 Gavin Tucker L -15
Sep 17, 2016 Gabriel Benitez L -17
Nov 28, 2015 Dooho Choi L -17
Jul 15, 2015 Yaotzin Meza W +16
Jan 24, 2015 Akira Corassani W +20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.04 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
34% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.94 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.20 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
70% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.72 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
3
60% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 3 (60%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.8
actual -1 vs expected