HonestElo
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Alex Reyes

Active #95 lightweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1430 ±20
LCB 1404
Rank
#95
top 94% of division
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +11 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Aug 17, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Sep 16, 2017 — L vs Mike Perry Δ-26Sep 16, 2023 — L vs Charlie Campbell Δ-31Aug 17, 2024 — L vs Tom Nolan Δ-24 13791413144714801514 201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":86.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":762.7,"y":135,"elo":1444,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Charlie Campbell","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":173.2,"elo":1419,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Tom Nolan","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 17, 2024 Tom Nolan L -24
Sep 16, 2023 Charlie Campbell L -31
Sep 16, 2017 Mike Perry L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.56 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.52 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.20 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.3
actual -1 vs expected