HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Cortney Casey

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1483 ±34
LCB 1439
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Jul 9, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Jul 18, 2015 — L vs Joanne Wood Δ-29Nov 28, 2015 — L vs Seo Hee Ham Δ-29Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Cristina Stanciu Δ+36Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Randa Markos Δ+36Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Claudia Gadelha Δ-29May 13, 2017 — W vs Jessica Aguilar Δ+15Dec 2, 2017 — L vs Felice Herrig Δ-12Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ-15Aug 25, 2018 — W vs Angela Hill Δ+16Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ-12May 16, 2020 — W vs Mara Romero Borella Δ+18Jun 20, 2020 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-15Mar 13, 2021 — L vs JJ Aldrich Δ-14Nov 13, 2021 — W vs Liana Jojua Δ+16Jul 9, 2022 — L vs Antonina Shevchenko Δ-15 14021440147815161554 201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":139.9,"elo":1471,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":68.5,"y":180.1,"elo":1442,"date":"2015-11-28","opp":"Seo Hee Ham","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":144.7,"y":129.9,"elo":1478,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Cristina Stanciu","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":157.4,"y":79.9,"elo":1514,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":187.8,"y":121.1,"elo":1484,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Claudia Gadelha","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":246.4,"y":99.5,"elo":1500,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Jessica Aguilar","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":314.2,"y":116.2,"elo":1488,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":358.7,"y":137.3,"elo":1473,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":403.2,"y":114.6,"elo":1489,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":462,"y":130.7,"elo":1477,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":613.8,"y":105.5,"elo":1495,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Mara Romero Borella","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":625.5,"y":126.8,"elo":1480,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":714.5,"y":146.5,"elo":1466,"date":"2021-03-13","opp":"JJ Aldrich","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":13,"x":796.4,"y":124,"elo":1482,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Liana Jojua","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":145.2,"elo":1467,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Antonina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 9, 2022 Antonina Shevchenko L -15
Nov 13, 2021 Liana Jojua W +16
Mar 13, 2021 JJ Aldrich L -14
Jun 20, 2020 Gillian Robertson L -15
May 16, 2020 Mara Romero Borella W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.18 avg 3.88
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.90 avg 3.53
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.38 avg 1.34
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
31% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
40% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.46 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
3 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
3
50% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 3 (50%) 3
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1503
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual -1 vs expected