HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Cortney Casey "Cast Iron"

Inactive · age 39 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2015
Elo rating
1440
Global Elo 1485 ±34
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Jul 9, 2022
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 10m
Avg fight time
12:41
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
3y 12mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Jul 18, 2015 — L vs Joanne Wood Δ-29Nov 28, 2015 — L vs Seo Hee Ham Δ-29Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Cristina Stanciu Δ+36Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Randa Markos Δ+36Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Claudia Gadelha Δ-29May 13, 2017 — W vs Jessica Aguilar Δ+15Dec 2, 2017 — L vs Felice Herrig Δ-12Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ-15Aug 25, 2018 — W vs Angela Hill Δ+16Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Cynthia Calvillo Δ-12May 16, 2020 — W vs Mara Romero Borella Δ+18Jun 20, 2020 — L vs Gillian Robertson Δ-15Mar 13, 2021 — L vs JJ Aldrich Δ-14Nov 13, 2021 — W vs Liana Jojua Δ+16Jul 9, 2022 — L vs Antonina Shevchenko Δ-15 13801400142014401460148015001520 201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":263.3,"elo":1444,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":127.6,"y":328.9,"elo":1416,"date":"2015-11-28","opp":"Seo Hee Ham","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":192,"y":246.8,"elo":1451,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Cristina Stanciu","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":202.7,"y":165.2,"elo":1487,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Randa Markos","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":228.5,"y":232.4,"elo":1458,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Claudia Gadelha","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":277.9,"y":197.2,"elo":1473,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Jessica Aguilar","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":335.3,"y":224.4,"elo":1461,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":372.9,"y":258.9,"elo":1446,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":410.4,"y":221.9,"elo":1462,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Angela Hill","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":460.2,"y":248.2,"elo":1451,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Cynthia Calvillo","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":10,"x":588.5,"y":207,"elo":1469,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Mara Romero Borella","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":598.4,"y":241.8,"elo":1454,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Gillian Robertson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":673.5,"y":274,"elo":1440,"date":"2021-03-13","opp":"JJ Aldrich","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":13,"x":742.7,"y":237.2,"elo":1456,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Liana Jojua","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":271.9,"elo":1440,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Antonina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 9, 2022 Antonina Shevchenko L -15
Nov 13, 2021 Liana Jojua W +16
Mar 13, 2021 JJ Aldrich L -14
Jun 20, 2020 Gillian Robertson L -15
May 16, 2020 Mara Romero Borella W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
3 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
3
50% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 3 (50%) 3
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 816 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 11%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
11%
of losses by finish
1 of 9
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 8 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1503
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Randa Markos
Elo 1505 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.0
−1.0 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1493
1499

Top womens flyweight

See full rankings →
Valentina Shevchenko C
#1 · Elo 1683
Natalia Silva
#2 · Elo 1652
Erin Blanchfield
#3 · Elo 1651
Manon Fiorot
#4 · Elo 1641
Zhang Weili
#5 · Elo 1637
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Cortney Casey on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.